要点 — South KoreaとSpain、どちらが上か？
Spain are favored over South Korea at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 46% win probability for Spain versus 38% for South Korea (and 16% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Spain's higher squad chemistry, though South Korea remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
結論
Spain hold a slight edge over South Korea, driven primarily by their superior squad chemistry. However, South Korea possess the quality to cause an upset, particularly if their tactical stability translates into a disciplined performance on the day.
主な違い：South Korea vs Spain
- •FIFA Ranking: Spain sit 21 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#2 vs #23).
- •Squad Chemistry: Spain have stronger squad cohesion (86/100 vs 76/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: The two squads are rated within 0.2 of each other on average (South Korea 6.9, Spain 7.1).
- •International Experience: South Korea bring more combined caps to the squad (985 vs 667).
- •World Cup Titles: Spain have won 1 World Cup; South Korea have 0.
どちらが勝つ？
当社のAIモデルは調子、スカッドの質、チームの結束を加味して、最も可能性の高い結果を予想します。
両者の比較
この対戦を左右しうる主要因を並べて比較します。数値は高いほど良好です（FIFAランキングのみ、低いほど強い）。
これらの意味は？
- 連携 — スカッドがひとつのまとまりとしてどれだけうまく機能するか。バルセロナのティキ・タカと、寄せ集めのオールスター集団との違いを思い浮かべてください。
- 熟練度 — これらの選手が一緒にプレーしてきた期間の長さ。長年の共有経験を持つスカッドは、互いの動き出しを本能的に読み合います。
- 安定性 — 戦術システムと先発がどれだけ一貫しているか。頻繁な監督交代やフォーメーションの試行錯誤はこのスコアを下げます。
- モラル — スカッドの現在の自信と勢い。近年の勝利、サポーターの後押し、メディアの好意的な論調がすべて影響します。
South Korea
Spain
スカッド比較
主要選手の対決
ワールドカップの歴史
South Korea vs Spain — よくある質問
Who is favored to win between South Korea and Spain at the 2026 World Cup?
Spain are favored, with a 46% projected win probability versus 37% for South Korea and a 16% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are South Korea's strongest attributes versus Spain?
South Korea do not lead Spain in any of the four chemistry metrics (chemistry, familiarity, stability, morale). South Korea will need to rely on individual quality and tactical execution to overcome Spain's edge in team cohesion.
What is the World Cup history of South Korea versus Spain?
South Korea have appeared in 11 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Spain have appeared in 16 World Cups and won 1 title. South Korea's best finish is Semi-finals; Spain's best finish is Winners.
Have South Korea and Spain faced each other in major international competition?
South Korea and Spain have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the South Korea versus Spain match?
Son Heung-min (South Korea, Tottenham Hotspur, rated 8.5/10) and Lamine Yamal (Spain, Barcelona, rated 8.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: South Korea or Spain?
South Korea carry the more experienced squad, with 985 combined senior caps versus 667 for Spain. Average squad rating is 6.9 for South Korea and 7.1 for Spain.