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要点 — ParaguayとUSA、どちらが上か?

USA are favored over Paraguay at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 48% win probability for USA versus 33% for Paraguay (and 19% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by USA's higher squad chemistry, though Paraguay remain capable of an upset on tournament form.

結論

USA hold a slight edge over Paraguay, driven primarily by their superior squad chemistry. However, Paraguay possess the quality to cause an upset, particularly if their high morale translates into a disciplined performance on the day.

主な違い:Paraguay vs USA

  • FIFA Ranking: USA sit 41 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#11 vs #52).
  • Squad Chemistry: USA have stronger squad cohesion (78/100 vs 66/100).
  • Average Squad Rating: USA carry the higher average player rating (6.9 vs 6.6).
  • International Experience: USA bring more combined caps to the squad (661 vs 604).
  • World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.

どちらが勝つ?

当社のAIモデルは調子、スカッドの質、チームの結束を加味して、最も可能性の高い結果を予想します。

Paraguay 33%Draw 19%USA 48%

両者の比較

この対戦を左右しうる主要因を並べて比較します。数値は高いほど良好です(FIFAランキングのみ、低いほど強い)。

Paraguay
USA
52
FIFAランキング
11
66
連携
78
64
熟練度
72
60
安定性
70
70
モラル
90

これらの意味は?

  • 連携スカッドがひとつのまとまりとしてどれだけうまく機能するか。バルセロナのティキ・タカと、寄せ集めのオールスター集団との違いを思い浮かべてください。
  • 熟練度これらの選手が一緒にプレーしてきた期間の長さ。長年の共有経験を持つスカッドは、互いの動き出しを本能的に読み合います。
  • 安定性戦術システムと先発がどれだけ一貫しているか。頻繁な監督交代やフォーメーションの試行錯誤はこのスコアを下げます。
  • モラルスカッドの現在の自信と勢い。近年の勝利、サポーターの後押し、メディアの好意的な論調がすべて影響します。
🇵🇾

Paraguay

連携66
熟練度64
安定性60
モラル70
🇺🇸

USA

連携78
熟練度72
安定性70
モラル90

スカッド比較

Paraguay
USA
23
スカッド人数
23
6.6
平均レーティング
6.9
604
通算キャップ数
661
52
通算得点
87

主要選手の対決

ワールドカップの歴史

Paraguay
USA
9
出場回数
11
0
優勝回数
0
8
WC勝利数
11
30
WC試合数
37
Quarter-finals
最高成績
Semi-finals

Paraguay vs USA — よくある質問

Who is favored to win between Paraguay and USA at the 2026 World Cup?

USA are favored, with a 48% projected win probability versus 33% for Paraguay and a 19% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.

What are Paraguay's strongest attributes versus USA?

Paraguay do not lead USA in any of the four chemistry metrics (chemistry, familiarity, stability, morale). Paraguay will need to rely on individual quality and tactical execution to overcome USA's edge in team cohesion.

What is the World Cup history of Paraguay versus USA?

Paraguay have appeared in 9 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; USA have appeared in 11 World Cups and won 0 titles. Paraguay's best finish is Quarter-finals; USA's best finish is Semi-finals.

Have Paraguay and USA faced each other in major international competition?

Paraguay and USA have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.

Which players will define the Paraguay versus USA match?

Julio Enciso (Paraguay, Brighton, rated 7/10) and Tim Weah (USA, Juventus, rated 7.1/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.

Which squad has more international experience: Paraguay or USA?

USA carry the more experienced squad, with 661 combined senior caps versus 604 for Paraguay. Average squad rating is 6.6 for Paraguay and 6.9 for USA.

関連する比較

Paraguay vs USA:ワールドカップ2026 直接対決比較 | KickOracle