要点 — HaitiとSouth Africa、どちらが上か？
South Africa are favored over Haiti at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 47% win probability for South Africa versus 37% for Haiti (and 16% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by South Africa's higher squad chemistry, though Haiti remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
結論
South Africa hold a slight edge over Haiti, driven primarily by their superior squad chemistry. However, Haiti possess the quality to cause an upset, particularly if their high morale translates into a disciplined performance on the day.
主な違い：Haiti vs South Africa
- •FIFA Ranking: South Africa sit 27 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#59 vs #86).
- •Squad Chemistry: South Africa have stronger squad cohesion (68/100 vs 60/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: South Africa carry the higher average player rating (6.8 vs 6.5).
- •International Experience: Haiti bring more combined caps to the squad (435 vs 430).
- •World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.
どちらが勝つ？
当社のAIモデルは調子、スカッドの質、チームの結束を加味して、最も可能性の高い結果を予想します。
両者の比較
この対戦を左右しうる主要因を並べて比較します。数値は高いほど良好です（FIFAランキングのみ、低いほど強い）。
これらの意味は？
- 連携 — スカッドがひとつのまとまりとしてどれだけうまく機能するか。バルセロナのティキ・タカと、寄せ集めのオールスター集団との違いを思い浮かべてください。
- 熟練度 — これらの選手が一緒にプレーしてきた期間の長さ。長年の共有経験を持つスカッドは、互いの動き出しを本能的に読み合います。
- 安定性 — 戦術システムと先発がどれだけ一貫しているか。頻繁な監督交代やフォーメーションの試行錯誤はこのスコアを下げます。
- モラル — スカッドの現在の自信と勢い。近年の勝利、サポーターの後押し、メディアの好意的な論調がすべて影響します。
Haiti
South Africa
スカッド比較
主要選手の対決
ワールドカップの歴史
Haiti vs South Africa — よくある質問
Who is favored to win between Haiti and South Africa at the 2026 World Cup?
South Africa are favored, with a 47% projected win probability versus 37% for Haiti and a 16% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Haiti's strongest attributes versus South Africa?
Haiti lead South Africa in squad morale. South Africa, in turn, have the edge in squad chemistry, team familiarity, tactical stability.
What is the World Cup history of Haiti versus South Africa?
Haiti have appeared in 1 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; South Africa have appeared in 4 World Cups and won 0 titles. Haiti's best finish is Group stage; South Africa's best finish is Group stage.
Have Haiti and South Africa faced each other in major international competition?
Haiti and South Africa have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Haiti versus South Africa match?
Derrick Étienne Jr. (Haiti, Columbus Crew, rated 7/10) and Percy Tau (South Africa, Al Ahly, rated 7.2/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Haiti or South Africa?
Haiti carry the more experienced squad, with 435 combined senior caps versus 430 for South Africa. Average squad rating is 6.5 for Haiti and 6.8 for South Africa.