要点 — HaitiとItaly、どちらが上か？
Italy are favored over Haiti at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 54% win probability for Italy versus 29% for Haiti (and 17% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Italy's higher squad chemistry, though Haiti remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
結論
Italy are clear favorites against Haiti based on current form, squad depth, and predictive metrics. Italy's elite ranking and outstanding chemistry give them a significant advantage. Haiti will need a historic performance to overcome the odds.
主な違い：Haiti vs Italy
- •FIFA Ranking: Italy sit 77 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#9 vs #86).
- •Squad Chemistry: Italy have stronger squad cohesion (74/100 vs 60/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: Italy carry the higher average player rating (7 vs 6.5).
- •International Experience: Italy bring more combined caps to the squad (632 vs 435).
- •World Cup Titles: Italy have won 4 World Cups; Haiti have 0.
どちらが勝つ？
当社のAIモデルは調子、スカッドの質、チームの結束を加味して、最も可能性の高い結果を予想します。
両者の比較
この対戦を左右しうる主要因を並べて比較します。数値は高いほど良好です（FIFAランキングのみ、低いほど強い）。
これらの意味は？
- 連携 — スカッドがひとつのまとまりとしてどれだけうまく機能するか。バルセロナのティキ・タカと、寄せ集めのオールスター集団との違いを思い浮かべてください。
- 熟練度 — これらの選手が一緒にプレーしてきた期間の長さ。長年の共有経験を持つスカッドは、互いの動き出しを本能的に読み合います。
- 安定性 — 戦術システムと先発がどれだけ一貫しているか。頻繁な監督交代やフォーメーションの試行錯誤はこのスコアを下げます。
- モラル — スカッドの現在の自信と勢い。近年の勝利、サポーターの後押し、メディアの好意的な論調がすべて影響します。
Haiti
Italy
スカッド比較
主要選手の対決
ワールドカップの歴史
Haiti vs Italy — よくある質問
Who is favored to win between Haiti and Italy at the 2026 World Cup?
Italy are favored, with a 54% projected win probability versus 29% for Haiti and a 17% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Haiti's strongest attributes versus Italy?
Haiti lead Italy in squad morale. Italy, in turn, have the edge in squad chemistry, team familiarity, tactical stability.
What is the World Cup history of Haiti versus Italy?
Haiti have appeared in 1 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Italy have appeared in 18 World Cups and won 4 titles. Haiti's best finish is Group stage; Italy's best finish is Winners.
Have Haiti and Italy faced each other in major international competition?
Haiti and Italy have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Haiti versus Italy match?
Derrick Étienne Jr. (Haiti, Columbus Crew, rated 7/10) and Federico Chiesa (Italy, Liverpool, rated 7.3/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Haiti or Italy?
Italy carry the more experienced squad, with 632 combined senior caps versus 435 for Haiti. Average squad rating is 6.5 for Haiti and 7 for Italy.