要点 — GermanyとSpain、どちらが上か？
Germany and Spain are nearly inseparable on paper for the 2026 World Cup. Our model gives Spain a slim 42% win probability versus Germany, with a 18% chance of a draw — average squad ratings differ by just 0.0 points. Expect a tight, tactical encounter where in-match decisions and individual quality decide it.
結論
This is an extremely tight matchup. Both Germany and Spain are evenly matched across key metrics, making this one of the most unpredictable potential encounters at the 2026 World Cup. Tactical execution and individual moments of brilliance will likely decide the outcome.
主な違い：Germany vs Spain
- •FIFA Ranking: Spain sit 1 place higher on the FIFA ranking (#2 vs #3).
- •Squad Chemistry: Spain have stronger squad cohesion (86/100 vs 79/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: The two squads are rated within 0.2 of each other on average (Germany 7.1, Spain 7.1).
- •International Experience: Germany bring more combined caps to the squad (821 vs 667).
- •World Cup Titles: Germany have won 4 World Cups; Spain have 1.
- •Head-to-Head History: In 25 all-time meetings, Germany have won 9, Spain have won 8, with 8 draws (last result: Spain 2-1 Germany (aet)).
どちらが勝つ？
当社のAIモデルは調子、スカッドの質、チームの結束を加味して、最も可能性の高い結果を予想します。
両者の比較
この対戦を左右しうる主要因を並べて比較します。数値は高いほど良好です（FIFAランキングのみ、低いほど強い）。
これらの意味は？
- 連携 — スカッドがひとつのまとまりとしてどれだけうまく機能するか。バルセロナのティキ・タカと、寄せ集めのオールスター集団との違いを思い浮かべてください。
- 熟練度 — これらの選手が一緒にプレーしてきた期間の長さ。長年の共有経験を持つスカッドは、互いの動き出しを本能的に読み合います。
- 安定性 — 戦術システムと先発がどれだけ一貫しているか。頻繁な監督交代やフォーメーションの試行錯誤はこのスコアを下げます。
- モラル — スカッドの現在の自信と勢い。近年の勝利、サポーターの後押し、メディアの好意的な論調がすべて影響します。
Germany
Spain
スカッド比較
主要選手の対決
ワールドカップの歴史
歴代直接対決
25回の対戦 · 直近：Spain 2-1 Germany (aet)
主な対戦
Germany vs Spain — よくある質問
Who is favored to win between Germany and Spain at the 2026 World Cup?
Germany and Spain are essentially even. Our AI model gives Spain a slight 42% win probability versus 40% for Germany, with a 18% chance of a draw — within the model's noise range.
What are Germany's strongest attributes versus Spain?
Germany do not lead Spain in any of the four chemistry metrics (chemistry, familiarity, stability, morale). Germany will need to rely on individual quality and tactical execution to overcome Spain's edge in team cohesion.
What is the World Cup history of Germany versus Spain?
Germany have appeared in 20 FIFA World Cups and won 4 titles; Spain have appeared in 16 World Cups and won 1 title. Germany's best finish is Winners; Spain's best finish is Winners.
Have Germany and Spain played each other before?
Yes — Germany and Spain have met 25 times in all competitions, including 3 World Cup encounters. Germany have won 9, Spain have won 8, and 8 ended in draws. The most recent meeting was Spain 2-1 Germany (aet).
Which players will define the Germany versus Spain match?
Kai Havertz (Germany, Arsenal, rated 7.4/10) and Lamine Yamal (Spain, Barcelona, rated 8.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Germany or Spain?
Germany carry the more experienced squad, with 821 combined senior caps versus 667 for Spain. Average squad rating is 7.1 for Germany and 7.1 for Spain.