要点 — EnglandとGermany、どちらが上か？
England and Germany are nearly inseparable on paper for the 2026 World Cup. Our model gives Germany a slim 42% win probability versus England, with a 18% chance of a draw — average squad ratings differ by just 0.1 points. Expect a tight, tactical encounter where in-match decisions and individual quality decide it.
結論
This is an extremely tight matchup. Both England and Germany are evenly matched across key metrics, making this one of the most unpredictable potential encounters at the 2026 World Cup. Tactical execution and individual moments of brilliance will likely decide the outcome.
主な違い：England vs Germany
- •FIFA Ranking: Germany sit 2 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#3 vs #5).
- •Squad Chemistry: Squad chemistry is essentially tied (England 77, Germany 79).
- •Average Squad Rating: The two squads are rated within 0.2 of each other on average (England 7.2, Germany 7.1).
- •International Experience: Germany bring more combined caps to the squad (821 vs 719).
- •World Cup Titles: Germany have won 4 World Cups; England have 1.
- •Head-to-Head History: In 35 all-time meetings, England have won 14, Germany have won 13, with 8 draws (last result: England 2-1 Germany).
どちらが勝つ？
当社のAIモデルは調子、スカッドの質、チームの結束を加味して、最も可能性の高い結果を予想します。
両者の比較
この対戦を左右しうる主要因を並べて比較します。数値は高いほど良好です（FIFAランキングのみ、低いほど強い）。
これらの意味は？
- 連携 — スカッドがひとつのまとまりとしてどれだけうまく機能するか。バルセロナのティキ・タカと、寄せ集めのオールスター集団との違いを思い浮かべてください。
- 熟練度 — これらの選手が一緒にプレーしてきた期間の長さ。長年の共有経験を持つスカッドは、互いの動き出しを本能的に読み合います。
- 安定性 — 戦術システムと先発がどれだけ一貫しているか。頻繁な監督交代やフォーメーションの試行錯誤はこのスコアを下げます。
- モラル — スカッドの現在の自信と勢い。近年の勝利、サポーターの後押し、メディアの好意的な論調がすべて影響します。
England
Germany
スカッド比較
主要選手の対決
ワールドカップの歴史
歴代直接対決
35回の対戦 · 直近：England 2-1 Germany
主な対戦
England vs Germany — よくある質問
Who is favored to win between England and Germany at the 2026 World Cup?
England and Germany are essentially even. Our AI model gives Germany a slight 42% win probability versus 40% for England, with a 18% chance of a draw — within the model's noise range.
What are England's strongest attributes versus Germany?
England do not lead Germany in any of the four chemistry metrics (chemistry, familiarity, stability, morale). England will need to rely on individual quality and tactical execution to overcome Germany's edge in team cohesion.
What is the World Cup history of England versus Germany?
England have appeared in 16 FIFA World Cups and won 1 title; Germany have appeared in 20 World Cups and won 4 titles. England's best finish is Winners; Germany's best finish is Winners.
Have England and Germany played each other before?
Yes — England and Germany have met 35 times in all competitions, including 6 World Cup encounters. England have won 14, Germany have won 13, and 8 ended in draws. The most recent meeting was England 2-1 Germany.
Which players will define the England versus Germany match?
Bukayo Saka (England, Arsenal, rated 8.2/10) and Kai Havertz (Germany, Arsenal, rated 7.4/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: England or Germany?
Germany carry the more experienced squad, with 821 combined senior caps versus 719 for England. Average squad rating is 7.2 for England and 7.1 for Germany.