要点 — EnglandとFrance、どちらが上か？
France are favored over England at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 45% win probability for France versus 39% for England (and 16% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by France's higher squad chemistry, though England remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
結論
France hold a slight edge over England, driven primarily by their superior squad chemistry. However, England possess the quality to cause an upset, particularly if their high morale translates into a disciplined performance on the day.
主な違い：England vs France
- •FIFA Ranking: France sit 4 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#1 vs #5).
- •Squad Chemistry: France have stronger squad cohesion (81/100 vs 77/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: The two squads are rated within 0.2 of each other on average (England 7.2, France 7.1).
- •International Experience: England bring more combined caps to the squad (719 vs 717).
- •World Cup Titles: France have won 2 World Cups; England have 1.
- •Head-to-Head History: In 31 all-time meetings, England have won 17, France have won 9, with 5 draws (last result: England 1-2 France).
どちらが勝つ？
当社のAIモデルは調子、スカッドの質、チームの結束を加味して、最も可能性の高い結果を予想します。
両者の比較
この対戦を左右しうる主要因を並べて比較します。数値は高いほど良好です（FIFAランキングのみ、低いほど強い）。
これらの意味は？
- 連携 — スカッドがひとつのまとまりとしてどれだけうまく機能するか。バルセロナのティキ・タカと、寄せ集めのオールスター集団との違いを思い浮かべてください。
- 熟練度 — これらの選手が一緒にプレーしてきた期間の長さ。長年の共有経験を持つスカッドは、互いの動き出しを本能的に読み合います。
- 安定性 — 戦術システムと先発がどれだけ一貫しているか。頻繁な監督交代やフォーメーションの試行錯誤はこのスコアを下げます。
- モラル — スカッドの現在の自信と勢い。近年の勝利、サポーターの後押し、メディアの好意的な論調がすべて影響します。
England
France
スカッド比較
主要選手の対決
ワールドカップの歴史
歴代直接対決
31回の対戦 · 直近：England 1-2 France
主な対戦
England vs France — よくある質問
Who is favored to win between England and France at the 2026 World Cup?
France are favored, with a 45% projected win probability versus 39% for England and a 16% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are England's strongest attributes versus France?
England do not lead France in any of the four chemistry metrics (chemistry, familiarity, stability, morale). England will need to rely on individual quality and tactical execution to overcome France's edge in team cohesion.
What is the World Cup history of England versus France?
England have appeared in 16 FIFA World Cups and won 1 title; France have appeared in 16 World Cups and won 2 titles. England's best finish is Winners; France's best finish is Winners.
Have England and France played each other before?
Yes — England and France have met 31 times in all competitions, including 3 World Cup encounters. England have won 17, France have won 9, and 5 ended in draws. The most recent meeting was England 1-2 France.
Which players will define the England versus France match?
Bukayo Saka (England, Arsenal, rated 8.2/10) and Kylian Mbappé (France, Real Madrid, rated 9/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: England or France?
England carry the more experienced squad, with 719 combined senior caps versus 717 for France. Average squad rating is 7.2 for England and 7.1 for France.