TL;DR — Who's Better, Cabo Verde or Haiti?
Cabo Verde are favored over Haiti at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 44% win probability for Cabo Verde versus 38% for Haiti (and 18% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Cabo Verde's higher squad chemistry, though Haiti remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
The Bottom Line
Cabo Verde hold a slight edge over Haiti, driven primarily by their superior squad chemistry. However, Haiti possess the quality to cause an upset, particularly if their high morale translates into a disciplined performance on the day.
Key Differences: Cabo Verde vs Haiti
- •FIFA Ranking: Cabo Verde sit 18 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#68 vs #86).
- •Squad Chemistry: Cabo Verde have stronger squad cohesion (64/100 vs 60/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: The two squads are rated within 0.2 of each other on average (Cabo Verde 6.4, Haiti 6.5).
- •International Experience: Cabo Verde bring more combined caps to the squad (493 vs 435).
- •World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.
Who Wins?
Our AI model weighs form, squad quality, and team cohesion to predict the most likely outcome.
How They Compare
A side-by-side look at the key factors that could decide this matchup. Higher is better (except FIFA Ranking, where lower = stronger).
What do these mean?
- Chemistry — How well the squad plays together as a unit. Think Barcelona's tiki-taka vs a random group of all-stars.
- Familiarity — How long these players have been playing together. Squads with years of shared experience read each other's runs instinctively.
- Stability — How consistent the tactical system and lineup have been. Frequent coaching changes and formation experiments hurt this score.
- Morale — The squad's current confidence and momentum. Recent wins, fan support, and media positivity all contribute.
Cabo Verde
Haiti
Squad Comparison
Key Player Matchups
World Cup History
Cabo Verde vs Haiti — Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win between Cabo Verde and Haiti at the 2026 World Cup?
Cabo Verde are favored, with a 44% projected win probability versus 38% for Haiti and a 18% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Cabo Verde's strongest attributes versus Haiti?
Cabo Verde lead Haiti in squad chemistry, team familiarity, tactical stability. Haiti, in turn, have the edge in squad morale.
What is the World Cup history of Cabo Verde versus Haiti?
Cabo Verde have appeared in 0 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Haiti have appeared in 1 World Cups and won 0 titles. Cabo Verde's best finish is Debut; Haiti's best finish is Group stage.
Have Cabo Verde and Haiti faced each other in major international competition?
Cabo Verde and Haiti have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Cabo Verde versus Haiti match?
Garry Rodrigues (Cabo Verde, Olympiacos, rated 6.6/10) and Derrick Étienne Jr. (Haiti, Columbus Crew, rated 7/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Cabo Verde or Haiti?
Cabo Verde carry the more experienced squad, with 493 combined senior caps versus 435 for Haiti. Average squad rating is 6.4 for Cabo Verde and 6.5 for Haiti.