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In breve — Chi è più forte, Paraguay o Serbia?

Serbia are favored over Paraguay at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 46% win probability for Serbia versus 37% for Paraguay (and 17% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Serbia's higher squad chemistry, though Paraguay remain capable of an upset on tournament form.

In conclusione

Serbia hold a slight edge over Paraguay, driven primarily by their superior squad chemistry. However, Paraguay possess the quality to cause an upset, particularly if their high morale translates into a disciplined performance on the day.

Differenze chiave: Paraguay vs Serbia

  • FIFA Ranking: Serbia sit 20 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#32 vs #52).
  • Squad Chemistry: Serbia have stronger squad cohesion (72/100 vs 66/100).
  • Average Squad Rating: The two squads are rated within 0.2 of each other on average (Paraguay 6.6, Serbia 6.7).
  • International Experience: Serbia bring more combined caps to the squad (752 vs 604).
  • World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.

Chi vince?

Il nostro modello AI pesa forma, qualità della rosa e coesione di squadra per pronosticare l'esito più probabile.

Paraguay 37%Draw 17%Serbia 46%

Come si confrontano

Un confronto fianco a fianco dei fattori chiave che potrebbero decidere questa sfida. Più alto è meglio (tranne per il ranking FIFA, dove più basso = più forte).

Paraguay
Serbia
52
Ranking FIFA
32
66
Intesa
72
64
Familiarità
70
60
Stabilità
64
70
Morale
73

Cosa significano?

  • IntesaQuanto bene la rosa gioca come un'unica unità. Pensa al tiki-taka del Barcellona contro un gruppo casuale di campioni.
  • FamiliaritàDa quanto tempo questi giocatori giocano insieme. Le rose con anni di esperienza condivisa leggono d'istinto i movimenti dei compagni.
  • StabilitàQuanto sono stati costanti il sistema tattico e la formazione. Cambi frequenti in panchina ed esperimenti di modulo penalizzano questo punteggio.
  • MoraleLa fiducia e il momentum attuali della rosa. Vittorie recenti, sostegno dei tifosi e clima mediatico positivo contribuiscono tutti.
🇵🇾

Paraguay

Intesa66
Familiarità64
Stabilità60
Morale70
🇷🇸

Serbia

Intesa72
Familiarità70
Stabilità64
Morale73

Confronto tra le rose

Paraguay
Serbia
23
Ampiezza rosa
23
6.6
Valutazione media
6.7
604
Presenze totali
752
52
Gol totali
134

Duelli chiave tra giocatori

Storia ai Mondiali

Paraguay
Serbia
9
Partecipazioni
3
0
Titoli
0
8
Vittorie ai Mondiali
2
30
Partite ai Mondiali
12
Quarter-finals
Miglior piazzamento
Group stage

Paraguay vs Serbia — Domande frequenti

Who is favored to win between Paraguay and Serbia at the 2026 World Cup?

Serbia are favored, with a 46% projected win probability versus 37% for Paraguay and a 17% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.

What are Paraguay's strongest attributes versus Serbia?

Paraguay do not lead Serbia in any of the four chemistry metrics (chemistry, familiarity, stability, morale). Paraguay will need to rely on individual quality and tactical execution to overcome Serbia's edge in team cohesion.

What is the World Cup history of Paraguay versus Serbia?

Paraguay have appeared in 9 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Serbia have appeared in 3 World Cups and won 0 titles. Paraguay's best finish is Quarter-finals; Serbia's best finish is Group stage.

Have Paraguay and Serbia faced each other in major international competition?

Paraguay and Serbia have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.

Which players will define the Paraguay versus Serbia match?

Julio Enciso (Paraguay, Brighton, rated 7/10) and Dušan Vlahović (Serbia, Juventus, rated 7.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.

Which squad has more international experience: Paraguay or Serbia?

Serbia carry the more experienced squad, with 752 combined senior caps versus 604 for Paraguay. Average squad rating is 6.6 for Paraguay and 6.7 for Serbia.

Confronti correlati

Paraguay vs Serbia: confronto diretto al Mondiale 2026 | KickOracle