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In breve — Chi è più forte, Panama o Paraguay?

Panama and Paraguay are nearly inseparable on paper for the 2026 World Cup. Our model gives Paraguay a slim 42% win probability versus Panama, with a 17% chance of a draw — average squad ratings differ by just 0.1 points. Expect a tight, tactical encounter where in-match decisions and individual quality decide it.

In conclusione

This is an extremely tight matchup. Both Panama and Paraguay are evenly matched across key metrics, making this one of the most unpredictable potential encounters at the 2026 World Cup. Tactical execution and individual moments of brilliance will likely decide the outcome.

Differenze chiave: Panama vs Paraguay

  • FIFA Ranking: Paraguay sit 3 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#52 vs #55).
  • Squad Chemistry: Squad chemistry is essentially tied (Panama 65, Paraguay 66).
  • Average Squad Rating: The two squads are rated within 0.2 of each other on average (Panama 6.5, Paraguay 6.6).
  • International Experience: Panama bring more combined caps to the squad (830 vs 604).
  • World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.

Chi vince?

Il nostro modello AI pesa forma, qualità della rosa e coesione di squadra per pronosticare l'esito più probabile.

Panama 41%Draw 17%Paraguay 42%

Come si confrontano

Un confronto fianco a fianco dei fattori chiave che potrebbero decidere questa sfida. Più alto è meglio (tranne per il ranking FIFA, dove più basso = più forte).

Panama
Paraguay
55
Ranking FIFA
52
65
Intesa
66
66
Familiarità
64
62
Stabilità
60
80
Morale
70

Cosa significano?

  • IntesaQuanto bene la rosa gioca come un'unica unità. Pensa al tiki-taka del Barcellona contro un gruppo casuale di campioni.
  • FamiliaritàDa quanto tempo questi giocatori giocano insieme. Le rose con anni di esperienza condivisa leggono d'istinto i movimenti dei compagni.
  • StabilitàQuanto sono stati costanti il sistema tattico e la formazione. Cambi frequenti in panchina ed esperimenti di modulo penalizzano questo punteggio.
  • MoraleLa fiducia e il momentum attuali della rosa. Vittorie recenti, sostegno dei tifosi e clima mediatico positivo contribuiscono tutti.
🇵🇦

Panama

Intesa65
Familiarità66
Stabilità62
Morale80
🇵🇾

Paraguay

Intesa66
Familiarità64
Stabilità60
Morale70

Confronto tra le rose

Panama
Paraguay
23
Ampiezza rosa
23
6.5
Valutazione media
6.6
830
Presenze totali
604
52
Gol totali
52

Duelli chiave tra giocatori

Storia ai Mondiali

Panama
Paraguay
1
Partecipazioni
9
0
Titoli
0
0
Vittorie ai Mondiali
8
3
Partite ai Mondiali
30
Group stage
Miglior piazzamento
Quarter-finals

Panama vs Paraguay — Domande frequenti

Who is favored to win between Panama and Paraguay at the 2026 World Cup?

Panama and Paraguay are essentially even. Our AI model gives Paraguay a slight 42% win probability versus 41% for Panama, with a 17% chance of a draw — within the model's noise range.

What are Panama's strongest attributes versus Paraguay?

Panama lead Paraguay in team familiarity, tactical stability, squad morale. Paraguay, in turn, have the edge in squad chemistry.

What is the World Cup history of Panama versus Paraguay?

Panama have appeared in 1 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Paraguay have appeared in 9 World Cups and won 0 titles. Panama's best finish is Group stage; Paraguay's best finish is Quarter-finals.

Have Panama and Paraguay faced each other in major international competition?

Panama and Paraguay have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.

Which players will define the Panama versus Paraguay match?

José Fajardo (Panama, Saprissa, rated 6.7/10) and Julio Enciso (Paraguay, Brighton, rated 7/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.

Which squad has more international experience: Panama or Paraguay?

Panama carry the more experienced squad, with 830 combined senior caps versus 604 for Paraguay. Average squad rating is 6.5 for Panama and 6.6 for Paraguay.

Confronti correlati

Panama vs Paraguay: confronto diretto al Mondiale 2026 | KickOracle