In breve — Chi è più forte, Haiti o Panama?
Panama are favored over Haiti at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 44% win probability for Panama versus 38% for Haiti (and 18% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Panama's higher squad chemistry, though Haiti remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
In conclusione
Panama hold a slight edge over Haiti, driven primarily by their superior squad chemistry. However, Haiti possess the quality to cause an upset, particularly if their high morale translates into a disciplined performance on the day.
Differenze chiave: Haiti vs Panama
- •FIFA Ranking: Panama sit 31 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#55 vs #86).
- •Squad Chemistry: Panama have stronger squad cohesion (65/100 vs 60/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: The two squads are rated within 0.2 of each other on average (Haiti 6.5, Panama 6.5).
- •International Experience: Panama bring more combined caps to the squad (830 vs 435).
- •World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.
Chi vince?
Il nostro modello AI pesa forma, qualità della rosa e coesione di squadra per pronosticare l'esito più probabile.
Come si confrontano
Un confronto fianco a fianco dei fattori chiave che potrebbero decidere questa sfida. Più alto è meglio (tranne per il ranking FIFA, dove più basso = più forte).
Cosa significano?
- Intesa — Quanto bene la rosa gioca come un'unica unità. Pensa al tiki-taka del Barcellona contro un gruppo casuale di campioni.
- Familiarità — Da quanto tempo questi giocatori giocano insieme. Le rose con anni di esperienza condivisa leggono d'istinto i movimenti dei compagni.
- Stabilità — Quanto sono stati costanti il sistema tattico e la formazione. Cambi frequenti in panchina ed esperimenti di modulo penalizzano questo punteggio.
- Morale — La fiducia e il momentum attuali della rosa. Vittorie recenti, sostegno dei tifosi e clima mediatico positivo contribuiscono tutti.
Haiti
Panama
Confronto tra le rose
Duelli chiave tra giocatori
Storia ai Mondiali
Haiti vs Panama — Domande frequenti
Who is favored to win between Haiti and Panama at the 2026 World Cup?
Panama are favored, with a 44% projected win probability versus 38% for Haiti and a 18% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Haiti's strongest attributes versus Panama?
Haiti lead Panama in squad morale. Panama, in turn, have the edge in squad chemistry, team familiarity, tactical stability.
What is the World Cup history of Haiti versus Panama?
Haiti have appeared in 1 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Panama have appeared in 1 World Cups and won 0 titles. Haiti's best finish is Group stage; Panama's best finish is Group stage.
Have Haiti and Panama faced each other in major international competition?
Haiti and Panama have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Haiti versus Panama match?
Derrick Étienne Jr. (Haiti, Columbus Crew, rated 7/10) and José Fajardo (Panama, Saprissa, rated 6.7/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Haiti or Panama?
Panama carry the more experienced squad, with 830 combined senior caps versus 435 for Haiti. Average squad rating is 6.5 for Haiti and 6.5 for Panama.