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In breve — Chi è più forte, Denmark o Iran?

Denmark and Iran are nearly inseparable on paper for the 2026 World Cup. Our model gives Iran a slim 42% win probability versus Denmark, with a 17% chance of a draw — average squad ratings differ by just 0.3 points. Expect a tight, tactical encounter where in-match decisions and individual quality decide it.

In conclusione

This is an extremely tight matchup. Both Denmark and Iran are evenly matched across key metrics, making this one of the most unpredictable potential encounters at the 2026 World Cup. Tactical execution and individual moments of brilliance will likely decide the outcome.

Differenze chiave: Denmark vs Iran

  • FIFA Ranking: Iran sit 1 place higher on the FIFA ranking (#20 vs #21).
  • Squad Chemistry: Denmark have stronger squad cohesion (80/100 vs 73/100).
  • Average Squad Rating: Denmark carry the higher average player rating (6.9 vs 6.6).
  • International Experience: Iran bring more combined caps to the squad (1208 vs 1003).
  • World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.

Chi vince?

Il nostro modello AI pesa forma, qualità della rosa e coesione di squadra per pronosticare l'esito più probabile.

Denmark 41%Draw 17%Iran 42%

Come si confrontano

Un confronto fianco a fianco dei fattori chiave che potrebbero decidere questa sfida. Più alto è meglio (tranne per il ranking FIFA, dove più basso = più forte).

Denmark
Iran
21
Ranking FIFA
20
80
Intesa
73
82
Familiarità
76
78
Stabilità
71
72
Morale
70

Cosa significano?

  • IntesaQuanto bene la rosa gioca come un'unica unità. Pensa al tiki-taka del Barcellona contro un gruppo casuale di campioni.
  • FamiliaritàDa quanto tempo questi giocatori giocano insieme. Le rose con anni di esperienza condivisa leggono d'istinto i movimenti dei compagni.
  • StabilitàQuanto sono stati costanti il sistema tattico e la formazione. Cambi frequenti in panchina ed esperimenti di modulo penalizzano questo punteggio.
  • MoraleLa fiducia e il momentum attuali della rosa. Vittorie recenti, sostegno dei tifosi e clima mediatico positivo contribuiscono tutti.
🇩🇰

Denmark

Intesa80
Familiarità82
Stabilità78
Morale72
🇮🇷

Iran

Intesa73
Familiarità76
Stabilità71
Morale70

Confronto tra le rose

Denmark
Iran
23
Ampiezza rosa
23
6.9
Valutazione media
6.6
1003
Presenze totali
1208
119
Gol totali
170

Duelli chiave tra giocatori

Storia ai Mondiali

Denmark
Iran
6
Partecipazioni
6
0
Titoli
0
9
Vittorie ai Mondiali
4
22
Partite ai Mondiali
18
Quarter-finals
Miglior piazzamento
Group stage

Denmark vs Iran — Domande frequenti

Who is favored to win between Denmark and Iran at the 2026 World Cup?

Denmark and Iran are essentially even. Our AI model gives Iran a slight 42% win probability versus 41% for Denmark, with a 17% chance of a draw — within the model's noise range.

What are Denmark's strongest attributes versus Iran?

Denmark lead Iran in squad chemistry, team familiarity, tactical stability, squad morale. Iran do not lead in any of the four chemistry metrics.

What is the World Cup history of Denmark versus Iran?

Denmark have appeared in 6 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Iran have appeared in 6 World Cups and won 0 titles. Denmark's best finish is Quarter-finals; Iran's best finish is Group stage.

Have Denmark and Iran faced each other in major international competition?

Denmark and Iran have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.

Which players will define the Denmark versus Iran match?

Rasmus Højlund (Denmark, Manchester United, rated 7.3/10) and Mehdi Taremi (Iran, Inter Milan, rated 7.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.

Which squad has more international experience: Denmark or Iran?

Iran carry the more experienced squad, with 1208 combined senior caps versus 1003 for Denmark. Average squad rating is 6.9 for Denmark and 6.6 for Iran.

Confronti correlati

Denmark vs Iran: confronto diretto al Mondiale 2026 | KickOracle