En bref — qui est la meilleure équipe, Senegal ou Spain ?
Spain are favored over Senegal at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 44% win probability for Spain versus 37% for Senegal (and 19% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Spain's higher squad chemistry, though Senegal remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
Le verdict
Spain hold a slight edge over Senegal, driven primarily by their superior squad chemistry. However, Senegal possess the quality to cause an upset, particularly if their high morale translates into a disciplined performance on the day.
Principales différences : Senegal contre Spain
- •FIFA Ranking: Spain sit 15 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#2 vs #17).
- •Squad Chemistry: Spain have stronger squad cohesion (86/100 vs 77/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: Spain carry the higher average player rating (7.1 vs 6.7).
- •International Experience: Senegal bring more combined caps to the squad (777 vs 667).
- •World Cup Titles: Spain have won 1 World Cup; Senegal have 0.
Qui l'emporte ?
Notre modèle d'IA évalue la forme, la qualité de l'effectif et la cohésion d'équipe pour prédire l'issue la plus probable.
Comment elles se comparent
Un comparatif côte à côte des facteurs clés qui pourraient décider de cette confrontation. Plus c'est élevé, mieux c'est (sauf pour le classement FIFA, où plus c'est bas, plus c'est fort).
Que signifient ces indicateurs ?
- Alchimie — À quel point l'effectif joue ensemble comme un bloc. Pensez au tiki-taka du Barça face à un assemblage de stars réunies au hasard.
- Automatismes — Depuis combien de temps ces joueurs évoluent ensemble. Les effectifs forts de plusieurs années d'expérience commune devinent instinctivement les appels de chacun.
- Stabilité — À quel point le système tactique et le onze sont restés constants. Les changements fréquents d'entraîneur et les expérimentations de schéma plombent ce score.
- Moral — La confiance et la dynamique actuelles de l'effectif. Victoires récentes, soutien des supporters et bienveillance des médias y contribuent tous.
Senegal
Spain
Comparatif des effectifs
Duels de joueurs clés
Histoire en Coupe du monde
Senegal – Spain — Questions fréquentes
Who is favored to win between Senegal and Spain at the 2026 World Cup?
Spain are favored, with a 44% projected win probability versus 37% for Senegal and a 19% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Senegal's strongest attributes versus Spain?
Senegal do not lead Spain in any of the four chemistry metrics (chemistry, familiarity, stability, morale). Senegal will need to rely on individual quality and tactical execution to overcome Spain's edge in team cohesion.
What is the World Cup history of Senegal versus Spain?
Senegal have appeared in 3 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Spain have appeared in 16 World Cups and won 1 title. Senegal's best finish is Quarter-finals; Spain's best finish is Winners.
Have Senegal and Spain faced each other in major international competition?
Senegal and Spain have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Senegal versus Spain match?
Ismaila Sarr (Senegal, Crystal Palace, rated 7.1/10) and Lamine Yamal (Spain, Barcelona, rated 8.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Senegal or Spain?
Senegal carry the more experienced squad, with 777 combined senior caps versus 667 for Spain. Average squad rating is 6.7 for Senegal and 7.1 for Spain.