En bref — qui est la meilleure équipe, Norway ou Spain ?
Spain are favored over Norway at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 49% win probability for Spain versus 33% for Norway (and 18% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Spain's higher squad chemistry, though Norway remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
Le verdict
Spain are clear favorites against Norway based on current form, squad depth, and predictive metrics. Spain's elite ranking and outstanding chemistry give them a significant advantage. Norway will need a historic performance to overcome the odds.
Principales différences : Norway contre Spain
- •FIFA Ranking: Spain sit 26 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#2 vs #28).
- •Squad Chemistry: Spain have stronger squad cohesion (86/100 vs 69/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: The two squads are rated within 0.2 of each other on average (Norway 6.9, Spain 7.1).
- •International Experience: Spain bring more combined caps to the squad (667 vs 612).
- •World Cup Titles: Spain have won 1 World Cup; Norway have 0.
Qui l'emporte ?
Notre modèle d'IA évalue la forme, la qualité de l'effectif et la cohésion d'équipe pour prédire l'issue la plus probable.
Comment elles se comparent
Un comparatif côte à côte des facteurs clés qui pourraient décider de cette confrontation. Plus c'est élevé, mieux c'est (sauf pour le classement FIFA, où plus c'est bas, plus c'est fort).
Que signifient ces indicateurs ?
- Alchimie — À quel point l'effectif joue ensemble comme un bloc. Pensez au tiki-taka du Barça face à un assemblage de stars réunies au hasard.
- Automatismes — Depuis combien de temps ces joueurs évoluent ensemble. Les effectifs forts de plusieurs années d'expérience commune devinent instinctivement les appels de chacun.
- Stabilité — À quel point le système tactique et le onze sont restés constants. Les changements fréquents d'entraîneur et les expérimentations de schéma plombent ce score.
- Moral — La confiance et la dynamique actuelles de l'effectif. Victoires récentes, soutien des supporters et bienveillance des médias y contribuent tous.
Norway
Spain
Comparatif des effectifs
Duels de joueurs clés
Histoire en Coupe du monde
Norway – Spain — Questions fréquentes
Who is favored to win between Norway and Spain at the 2026 World Cup?
Spain are favored, with a 49% projected win probability versus 33% for Norway and a 18% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Norway's strongest attributes versus Spain?
Norway do not lead Spain in any of the four chemistry metrics (chemistry, familiarity, stability, morale). Norway will need to rely on individual quality and tactical execution to overcome Spain's edge in team cohesion.
What is the World Cup history of Norway versus Spain?
Norway have appeared in 3 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Spain have appeared in 16 World Cups and won 1 title. Norway's best finish is Round of 16; Spain's best finish is Winners.
Have Norway and Spain faced each other in major international competition?
Norway and Spain have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Norway versus Spain match?
Erling Haaland (Norway, Manchester City, rated 9/10) and Lamine Yamal (Spain, Barcelona, rated 8.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Norway or Spain?
Spain carry the more experienced squad, with 667 combined senior caps versus 612 for Norway. Average squad rating is 6.9 for Norway and 7.1 for Spain.