En bref — qui est la meilleure équipe, Italy ou Ivory Coast ?
Italy are favored over Ivory Coast at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 47% win probability for Italy versus 38% for Ivory Coast (and 15% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Italy's stronger FIFA ranking, though Ivory Coast remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
Le verdict
Italy hold a slight edge over Ivory Coast, driven primarily by their higher FIFA ranking. However, Ivory Coast possess the quality to cause an upset, particularly if their high morale translates into a disciplined performance on the day.
Principales différences : Italy contre Ivory Coast
- •FIFA Ranking: Italy sit 29 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#9 vs #38).
- •Squad Chemistry: Squad chemistry is essentially tied (Italy 74, Ivory Coast 74).
- •Average Squad Rating: Italy carry the higher average player rating (7 vs 6.7).
- •International Experience: Ivory Coast bring more combined caps to the squad (633 vs 632).
- •World Cup Titles: Italy have won 4 World Cups; Ivory Coast have 0.
Qui l'emporte ?
Notre modèle d'IA évalue la forme, la qualité de l'effectif et la cohésion d'équipe pour prédire l'issue la plus probable.
Comment elles se comparent
Un comparatif côte à côte des facteurs clés qui pourraient décider de cette confrontation. Plus c'est élevé, mieux c'est (sauf pour le classement FIFA, où plus c'est bas, plus c'est fort).
Que signifient ces indicateurs ?
- Alchimie — À quel point l'effectif joue ensemble comme un bloc. Pensez au tiki-taka du Barça face à un assemblage de stars réunies au hasard.
- Automatismes — Depuis combien de temps ces joueurs évoluent ensemble. Les effectifs forts de plusieurs années d'expérience commune devinent instinctivement les appels de chacun.
- Stabilité — À quel point le système tactique et le onze sont restés constants. Les changements fréquents d'entraîneur et les expérimentations de schéma plombent ce score.
- Moral — La confiance et la dynamique actuelles de l'effectif. Victoires récentes, soutien des supporters et bienveillance des médias y contribuent tous.
Italy
Ivory Coast
Comparatif des effectifs
Duels de joueurs clés
Histoire en Coupe du monde
Italy – Ivory Coast — Questions fréquentes
Who is favored to win between Italy and Ivory Coast at the 2026 World Cup?
Italy are favored, with a 47% projected win probability versus 38% for Ivory Coast and a 15% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Italy's strongest attributes versus Ivory Coast?
Italy do not lead Ivory Coast in any of the four chemistry metrics (chemistry, familiarity, stability, morale). Italy will need to rely on individual quality and tactical execution to overcome Ivory Coast's edge in team cohesion.
What is the World Cup history of Italy versus Ivory Coast?
Italy have appeared in 18 FIFA World Cups and won 4 titles; Ivory Coast have appeared in 4 World Cups and won 0 titles. Italy's best finish is Winners; Ivory Coast's best finish is Group stage.
Have Italy and Ivory Coast faced each other in major international competition?
Italy and Ivory Coast have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Italy versus Ivory Coast match?
Federico Chiesa (Italy, Liverpool, rated 7.3/10) and Simon Adingra (Ivory Coast, Brighton, rated 7.2/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Italy or Ivory Coast?
Ivory Coast carry the more experienced squad, with 633 combined senior caps versus 632 for Italy. Average squad rating is 7 for Italy and 6.7 for Ivory Coast.