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En bref — qui est la meilleure équipe, Iran ou South Africa ?

Iran are favored over South Africa at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 46% win probability for Iran versus 35% for South Africa (and 19% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Iran's higher squad chemistry, though South Africa remain capable of an upset on tournament form.

Le verdict

Iran hold a slight edge over South Africa, driven primarily by their superior squad chemistry. However, South Africa possess the quality to cause an upset, particularly if their high morale translates into a disciplined performance on the day.

Principales différences : Iran contre South Africa

  • FIFA Ranking: Iran sit 39 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#20 vs #59).
  • Squad Chemistry: Iran have stronger squad cohesion (73/100 vs 68/100).
  • Average Squad Rating: South Africa carry the higher average player rating (6.8 vs 6.6).
  • International Experience: Iran bring more combined caps to the squad (1208 vs 430).
  • World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.

Qui l'emporte ?

Notre modèle d'IA évalue la forme, la qualité de l'effectif et la cohésion d'équipe pour prédire l'issue la plus probable.

Iran 46%Draw 19%South Africa 34%

Comment elles se comparent

Un comparatif côte à côte des facteurs clés qui pourraient décider de cette confrontation. Plus c'est élevé, mieux c'est (sauf pour le classement FIFA, où plus c'est bas, plus c'est fort).

Iran
South Africa
20
Classement FIFA
59
73
Alchimie
68
76
Automatismes
62
71
Stabilité
70
70
Moral
78

Que signifient ces indicateurs ?

  • AlchimieÀ quel point l'effectif joue ensemble comme un bloc. Pensez au tiki-taka du Barça face à un assemblage de stars réunies au hasard.
  • AutomatismesDepuis combien de temps ces joueurs évoluent ensemble. Les effectifs forts de plusieurs années d'expérience commune devinent instinctivement les appels de chacun.
  • StabilitéÀ quel point le système tactique et le onze sont restés constants. Les changements fréquents d'entraîneur et les expérimentations de schéma plombent ce score.
  • MoralLa confiance et la dynamique actuelles de l'effectif. Victoires récentes, soutien des supporters et bienveillance des médias y contribuent tous.
🇮🇷

Iran

Alchimie73
Automatismes76
Stabilité71
Moral70
🇿🇦

South Africa

Alchimie68
Automatismes62
Stabilité70
Moral78

Comparatif des effectifs

Iran
South Africa
23
Taille de l'effectif
23
6.6
Note moyenne
6.8
1208
Total des sélections
430
170
Total des buts
62

Duels de joueurs clés

Histoire en Coupe du monde

Iran
South Africa
6
Participations
4
0
Titres
0
4
Victoires en CM
3
18
Matchs en CM
12
Group stage
Meilleur parcours
Group stage

Iran – South Africa — Questions fréquentes

Who is favored to win between Iran and South Africa at the 2026 World Cup?

Iran are favored, with a 46% projected win probability versus 34% for South Africa and a 19% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.

What are Iran's strongest attributes versus South Africa?

Iran lead South Africa in squad chemistry, team familiarity, tactical stability. South Africa, in turn, have the edge in squad morale.

What is the World Cup history of Iran versus South Africa?

Iran have appeared in 6 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; South Africa have appeared in 4 World Cups and won 0 titles. Iran's best finish is Group stage; South Africa's best finish is Group stage.

Have Iran and South Africa faced each other in major international competition?

Iran and South Africa have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.

Which players will define the Iran versus South Africa match?

Mehdi Taremi (Iran, Inter Milan, rated 7.5/10) and Percy Tau (South Africa, Al Ahly, rated 7.2/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.

Which squad has more international experience: Iran or South Africa?

Iran carry the more experienced squad, with 1208 combined senior caps versus 430 for South Africa. Average squad rating is 6.6 for Iran and 6.8 for South Africa.

Comparatifs similaires

Iran – South Africa : comparatif tête-à-tête de la Coupe du monde 2026 | KickOracle