TL;DR — Who's Better, Ghana or Paraguay?
Ghana and Paraguay are nearly inseparable on paper for the 2026 World Cup. Our model gives Ghana a slim 42% win probability versus Paraguay, with a 19% chance of a draw — average squad ratings differ by just 0.1 points. Expect a tight, tactical encounter where in-match decisions and individual quality decide it.
The Bottom Line
This is an extremely tight matchup. Both Ghana and Paraguay are evenly matched across key metrics, making this one of the most unpredictable potential encounters at the 2026 World Cup. Tactical execution and individual moments of brilliance will likely decide the outcome.
Key Differences: Ghana vs Paraguay
- •FIFA Ranking: Ghana sit 5 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#47 vs #52).
- •Squad Chemistry: Squad chemistry is essentially tied (Ghana 67, Paraguay 66).
- •Average Squad Rating: The two squads are rated within 0.2 of each other on average (Ghana 6.7, Paraguay 6.6).
- •International Experience: Ghana bring more combined caps to the squad (654 vs 604).
- •World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.
Who Wins?
Our AI model weighs form, squad quality, and team cohesion to predict the most likely outcome.
How They Compare
A side-by-side look at the key factors that could decide this matchup. Higher is better (except FIFA Ranking, where lower = stronger).
What do these mean?
- Chemistry — How well the squad plays together as a unit. Think Barcelona's tiki-taka vs a random group of all-stars.
- Familiarity — How long these players have been playing together. Squads with years of shared experience read each other's runs instinctively.
- Stability — How consistent the tactical system and lineup have been. Frequent coaching changes and formation experiments hurt this score.
- Morale — The squad's current confidence and momentum. Recent wins, fan support, and media positivity all contribute.
Ghana
Paraguay
Squad Comparison
Key Player Matchups
World Cup History
Ghana vs Paraguay — Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win between Ghana and Paraguay at the 2026 World Cup?
Ghana and Paraguay are essentially even. Our AI model gives Ghana a slight 42% win probability versus 39% for Paraguay, with a 19% chance of a draw — within the model's noise range.
What are Ghana's strongest attributes versus Paraguay?
Ghana lead Paraguay in squad chemistry, squad morale. Paraguay, in turn, have the edge in team familiarity, tactical stability.
What is the World Cup history of Ghana versus Paraguay?
Ghana have appeared in 4 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Paraguay have appeared in 9 World Cups and won 0 titles. Ghana's best finish is Quarter-finals; Paraguay's best finish is Quarter-finals.
Have Ghana and Paraguay faced each other in major international competition?
Ghana and Paraguay have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Ghana versus Paraguay match?
Mohammed Kudus (Ghana, West Ham United, rated 7.3/10) and Julio Enciso (Paraguay, Brighton, rated 7/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Ghana or Paraguay?
Ghana carry the more experienced squad, with 654 combined senior caps versus 604 for Paraguay. Average squad rating is 6.7 for Ghana and 6.6 for Paraguay.