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En bref — qui est la meilleure équipe, Ecuador ou Ivory Coast ?

Ecuador and Ivory Coast are nearly inseparable on paper for the 2026 World Cup. Our model gives Ecuador a slim 42% win probability versus Ivory Coast, with a 17% chance of a draw — average squad ratings differ by just 0.1 points. Expect a tight, tactical encounter where in-match decisions and individual quality decide it.

Le verdict

This is an extremely tight matchup. Both Ecuador and Ivory Coast are evenly matched across key metrics, making this one of the most unpredictable potential encounters at the 2026 World Cup. Tactical execution and individual moments of brilliance will likely decide the outcome.

Principales différences : Ecuador contre Ivory Coast

  • FIFA Ranking: Ecuador sit 7 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#31 vs #38).
  • Squad Chemistry: Ivory Coast have stronger squad cohesion (74/100 vs 70/100).
  • Average Squad Rating: The two squads are rated within 0.2 of each other on average (Ecuador 6.8, Ivory Coast 6.7).
  • International Experience: Ecuador bring more combined caps to the squad (663 vs 633).
  • World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.

Qui l'emporte ?

Notre modèle d'IA évalue la forme, la qualité de l'effectif et la cohésion d'équipe pour prédire l'issue la plus probable.

Ecuador 42%Draw 17%Ivory Coast 41%

Comment elles se comparent

Un comparatif côte à côte des facteurs clés qui pourraient décider de cette confrontation. Plus c'est élevé, mieux c'est (sauf pour le classement FIFA, où plus c'est bas, plus c'est fort).

Ecuador
Ivory Coast
31
Classement FIFA
38
70
Alchimie
74
68
Automatismes
70
65
Stabilité
68
74
Moral
86

Que signifient ces indicateurs ?

  • AlchimieÀ quel point l'effectif joue ensemble comme un bloc. Pensez au tiki-taka du Barça face à un assemblage de stars réunies au hasard.
  • AutomatismesDepuis combien de temps ces joueurs évoluent ensemble. Les effectifs forts de plusieurs années d'expérience commune devinent instinctivement les appels de chacun.
  • StabilitéÀ quel point le système tactique et le onze sont restés constants. Les changements fréquents d'entraîneur et les expérimentations de schéma plombent ce score.
  • MoralLa confiance et la dynamique actuelles de l'effectif. Victoires récentes, soutien des supporters et bienveillance des médias y contribuent tous.
🇪🇨

Ecuador

Alchimie70
Automatismes68
Stabilité65
Moral74
🇨🇮

Ivory Coast

Alchimie74
Automatismes70
Stabilité68
Moral86

Comparatif des effectifs

Ecuador
Ivory Coast
23
Taille de l'effectif
23
6.8
Note moyenne
6.7
663
Total des sélections
633
86
Total des buts
68

Duels de joueurs clés

Histoire en Coupe du monde

Ecuador
Ivory Coast
4
Participations
4
0
Titres
0
4
Victoires en CM
3
13
Matchs en CM
12
Round of 16
Meilleur parcours
Group stage

Ecuador – Ivory Coast — Questions fréquentes

Who is favored to win between Ecuador and Ivory Coast at the 2026 World Cup?

Ecuador and Ivory Coast are essentially even. Our AI model gives Ecuador a slight 42% win probability versus 41% for Ivory Coast, with a 17% chance of a draw — within the model's noise range.

What are Ecuador's strongest attributes versus Ivory Coast?

Ecuador do not lead Ivory Coast in any of the four chemistry metrics (chemistry, familiarity, stability, morale). Ecuador will need to rely on individual quality and tactical execution to overcome Ivory Coast's edge in team cohesion.

What is the World Cup history of Ecuador versus Ivory Coast?

Ecuador have appeared in 4 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Ivory Coast have appeared in 4 World Cups and won 0 titles. Ecuador's best finish is Round of 16; Ivory Coast's best finish is Group stage.

Have Ecuador and Ivory Coast faced each other in major international competition?

Ecuador and Ivory Coast have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.

Which players will define the Ecuador versus Ivory Coast match?

Gonzalo Plata (Ecuador, Flamengo, rated 7/10) and Simon Adingra (Ivory Coast, Brighton, rated 7.2/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.

Which squad has more international experience: Ecuador or Ivory Coast?

Ecuador carry the more experienced squad, with 663 combined senior caps versus 633 for Ivory Coast. Average squad rating is 6.8 for Ecuador and 6.7 for Ivory Coast.

Comparatifs similaires

Ecuador – Ivory Coast : comparatif tête-à-tête de la Coupe du monde 2026 | KickOracle