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TL;DR — Who's Better, Cabo Verde or Serbia?

Serbia are favored over Cabo Verde at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 49% win probability for Serbia versus 31% for Cabo Verde (and 20% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Serbia's higher squad chemistry, though Cabo Verde remain capable of an upset on tournament form.

The Bottom Line

Serbia are clear favorites against Cabo Verde based on current form, squad depth, and predictive metrics. Serbia's competitive strength and outstanding chemistry give them a significant advantage. Cabo Verde will need a historic performance to overcome the odds.

Key Differences: Cabo Verde vs Serbia

  • FIFA Ranking: Serbia sit 36 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#32 vs #68).
  • Squad Chemistry: Serbia have stronger squad cohesion (72/100 vs 64/100).
  • Average Squad Rating: Serbia carry the higher average player rating (6.7 vs 6.4).
  • International Experience: Serbia bring more combined caps to the squad (752 vs 493).
  • World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.

Who Wins?

Our AI model weighs form, squad quality, and team cohesion to predict the most likely outcome.

Cabo Verde 31%Draw 20%Serbia 49%

How They Compare

A side-by-side look at the key factors that could decide this matchup. Higher is better (except FIFA Ranking, where lower = stronger).

Cabo Verde
Serbia
68
FIFA Ranking
32
64
Chemistry
72
60
Familiarity
70
58
Stability
64
87
Morale
73

What do these mean?

  • Chemistry — How well the squad plays together as a unit. Think Barcelona's tiki-taka vs a random group of all-stars.
  • Familiarity — How long these players have been playing together. Squads with years of shared experience read each other's runs instinctively.
  • Stability — How consistent the tactical system and lineup have been. Frequent coaching changes and formation experiments hurt this score.
  • Morale — The squad's current confidence and momentum. Recent wins, fan support, and media positivity all contribute.
🇨🇻

Cabo Verde

Chemistry64
Familiarity60
Stability58
Morale87
🇷🇸

Serbia

Chemistry72
Familiarity70
Stability64
Morale73

Squad Comparison

Cabo Verde
Serbia
23
Squad Size
23
6.4
Avg Rating
6.7
493
Total Caps
752
47
Total Goals
134

Key Player Matchups

World Cup History

Cabo Verde
Serbia
0
Appearances
3
0
Titles
0
0
WC Wins
2
0
WC Matches
12
Debut
Best Finish
Group stage

Cabo Verde vs Serbia — Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win between Cabo Verde and Serbia at the 2026 World Cup?

Serbia are favored, with a 49% projected win probability versus 31% for Cabo Verde and a 20% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.

What are Cabo Verde's strongest attributes versus Serbia?

Cabo Verde lead Serbia in squad morale. Serbia, in turn, have the edge in squad chemistry, team familiarity, tactical stability.

What is the World Cup history of Cabo Verde versus Serbia?

Cabo Verde have appeared in 0 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Serbia have appeared in 3 World Cups and won 0 titles. Cabo Verde's best finish is Debut; Serbia's best finish is Group stage.

Have Cabo Verde and Serbia faced each other in major international competition?

Cabo Verde and Serbia have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.

Which players will define the Cabo Verde versus Serbia match?

Garry Rodrigues (Cabo Verde, Olympiacos, rated 6.6/10) and Dušan Vlahović (Serbia, Juventus, rated 7.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.

Which squad has more international experience: Cabo Verde or Serbia?

Serbia carry the more experienced squad, with 752 combined senior caps versus 493 for Cabo Verde. Average squad rating is 6.4 for Cabo Verde and 6.7 for Serbia.

Related Comparisons

Cabo Verde vs Serbia: World Cup 2026 Head-to-Head Comparison | KickOracle