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About KickOracle

Narratives over noise — and a clear paper trail.

KickOracle is an independent football intelligence project built for the 2026 World Cup. We publish AI predictions, daily briefings, host-city travel guides, and team dossiers — without ads, without forum clutter, and without subscription traps.

Why we built this

Most World Cup coverage is either cheerleading or coupons. We wanted a third option: clear, narrative-first analysis that respects the reader's time and shows its work. So we started KickOracle — a small, transparent operation with an unambiguous bias toward telling you what we actually think.

Who runs KickOracle

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Founder & Editor

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Lead methodology

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Lead Analyst, Predictions Methodology

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What we will and won't do

What we will do

  • Show our methodology weights publicly
  • Publish backtest results before kickoff
  • Refund any unread purchase, no questions asked
  • Cite sources for every dossier claim

What we won't do

  • · Sell your data to bookmakers or third parties
  • · Run ads inside predictions or briefings
  • · Hide methodology behind a paywall
  • · Pretend to be neutral — we'll tell you what we think

Talk to us

Press, partnerships, corrections, or analyst-applications: email@kickoracle.com. We answer every email.

How we calculate ratings

As of May 2026

Data sources

Public match-level event data, FIFA rankings, publicly available squad lists, historical international results, and KickOracle's own derived metrics for squad chemistry, morale, tactical stability, and player fitness. We do not use proprietary scout reports or paid expert opinions.

Rating formula at a high level

Each team's win probability is a weighted blend: FIFA ranking (40%), squad chemistry (30%), morale (15%), tactical stability (10%), and tournament familiarity (5%). Player overall (OVR) ratings are derived deterministically from base rating, age band, fitness status, position, caps, goals, and assists. Component ratings (PAC, SHO, PAS, PHY, DEF) are computed per-position.

What is NOT included

We do not use real-time market-price movements as a model input, do not weight social media sentiment for predictions, do not incorporate referee assignments, and do not adjust for in-match luck factors such as deflected goals or VAR overturns. Predictions are pre-match only.

Update cadence

Server-side caches refresh every 5 minutes, with a daily editorial review for injury news, lineup changes, and form shifts. The model formula and weights are frozen before tournament kickoff on June 11, 2026.

Rating component glossary

PAC
Pace — derived from position-typical baseline, player age band, and fitness status; range 40-99.
SHO
Shooting — driven by goals per cap (capped at 120 caps) and base rating; range 40-99.
PAS
Passing — driven by assists per cap and base rating; range 40-99.
PHY
Physical — combines age band, fitness status, and base rating; range 40-99.
DEF
Defense — anchored by position (GK 85, DEF 82, MID 65, FWD 42 baseline) and adjusted by base rating; range 40-99.
OVR
Overall — base rating × 10 with a small sentiment adjustment; range 40-99. The OVR is what most players, scouts, and fans recognize as the headline player rating.

Frequently asked questions

Who runs KickOracle?

KickOracle is built by a small, independent editorial and methodology team. The founder leads editorial direction, and a lead analyst owns predictions methodology and the backtests run on Euro 2024 and Copa America 2024. Contact the team at hello@kickoracle.com.

Is KickOracle independent?

Yes. KickOracle has no commercial ties to FIFA, leagues, teams, or third-party forecasting firms. It does not run advertising inside predictions or briefings, and it does not sell user data to commercial data partners or third parties.

What data sources do you use?

Public match-level event data, FIFA rankings, publicly available squad lists, historical international results, and KickOracle's own derived metrics for squad chemistry, morale, and tactical stability. We do not use proprietary scout reports or paid expert opinions.

How is KickOracle funded?

Through a one-time Tournament Pass for premium predictions and dossiers, plus optional newsletter and affiliate links for tickets, travel, and merchandise. As an Amazon Associate, KickOracle earns from qualifying purchases. There is no venture funding and no league or prediction-market sponsorship.

Can I trust KickOracle's methodology?

Our prediction weights, backtest results, and rating formulas are published publicly, and our backtest compares head-to-head against FiveThirtyEight and market-implied benchmark probabilities. We disclose limitations openly on the accuracy page.

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About KickOracle — Independent World Cup 2026 Intelligence | KickOracle