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En resumen: ¿quién es mejor, Paraguay o Senegal?

Senegal are favored over Paraguay at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 51% win probability for Senegal versus 33% for Paraguay (and 16% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Senegal's higher squad chemistry, though Paraguay remain capable of an upset on tournament form.

La conclusión

Senegal are clear favorites against Paraguay based on current form, squad depth, and predictive metrics. Senegal's competitive strength and outstanding chemistry give them a significant advantage. Paraguay will need a historic performance to overcome the odds.

Diferencias clave: Paraguay vs Senegal

  • FIFA Ranking: Senegal sit 35 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#17 vs #52).
  • Squad Chemistry: Senegal have stronger squad cohesion (77/100 vs 66/100).
  • Average Squad Rating: The two squads are rated within 0.2 of each other on average (Paraguay 6.6, Senegal 6.7).
  • International Experience: Senegal bring more combined caps to the squad (777 vs 604).
  • World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.

¿Quién gana?

Nuestro modelo de IA pondera el estado de forma, la calidad del plantel y la cohesión del equipo para predecir el resultado más probable.

Paraguay 34%Draw 16%Senegal 51%

Cómo se comparan

Una mirada lado a lado de los factores clave que podrían decidir este duelo. Más alto es mejor (salvo el Ranking FIFA, donde más bajo = más fuerte).

Paraguay
Senegal
52
Ranking FIFA
17
66
Química
77
64
Familiaridad
78
60
Estabilidad
75
70
Moral
79

¿Qué significan estos datos?

  • QuímicaQué tan bien juega el plantel como una unidad. Pensá en el tiki-taka del Barcelona frente a un grupo cualquiera de estrellas.
  • FamiliaridadCuánto tiempo llevan jugando juntos estos jugadores. Los planteles con años de experiencia compartida leen las desmarcadas del otro por instinto.
  • EstabilidadQué tan constante ha sido el sistema táctico y la alineación. Los cambios frecuentes de entrenador y los experimentos de formación perjudican este puntaje.
  • MoralLa confianza y el impulso actuales del plantel. Las victorias recientes, el apoyo de la afición y el clima positivo en los medios suman.
🇵🇾

Paraguay

Química66
Familiaridad64
Estabilidad60
Moral70
🇸🇳

Senegal

Química77
Familiaridad78
Estabilidad75
Moral79

Comparación de planteles

Paraguay
Senegal
23
Tamaño del plantel
23
6.6
Valoración media
6.7
604
Partidos internacionales totales
777
52
Goles totales
87

Duelos clave de jugadores

Historial en Mundiales

Paraguay
Senegal
9
Participaciones
3
0
Títulos
0
8
Victorias en Mundiales
4
30
Partidos en Mundiales
11
Quarter-finals
Mejor resultado
Quarter-finals

Paraguay vs Senegal — Preguntas frecuentes

Who is favored to win between Paraguay and Senegal at the 2026 World Cup?

Senegal are favored, with a 51% projected win probability versus 34% for Paraguay and a 16% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.

What are Paraguay's strongest attributes versus Senegal?

Paraguay do not lead Senegal in any of the four chemistry metrics (chemistry, familiarity, stability, morale). Paraguay will need to rely on individual quality and tactical execution to overcome Senegal's edge in team cohesion.

What is the World Cup history of Paraguay versus Senegal?

Paraguay have appeared in 9 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Senegal have appeared in 3 World Cups and won 0 titles. Paraguay's best finish is Quarter-finals; Senegal's best finish is Quarter-finals.

Have Paraguay and Senegal faced each other in major international competition?

Paraguay and Senegal have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.

Which players will define the Paraguay versus Senegal match?

Julio Enciso (Paraguay, Brighton, rated 7/10) and Ismaila Sarr (Senegal, Crystal Palace, rated 7.1/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.

Which squad has more international experience: Paraguay or Senegal?

Senegal carry the more experienced squad, with 777 combined senior caps versus 604 for Paraguay. Average squad rating is 6.6 for Paraguay and 6.7 for Senegal.

Comparaciones relacionadas

Paraguay vs Senegal: comparación cara a cara del Mundial 2026 | KickOracle