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En resumen: ¿quién es mejor, Panama o Spain?

Spain are favored over Panama at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 49% win probability for Spain versus 32% for Panama (and 19% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Spain's higher squad chemistry, though Panama remain capable of an upset on tournament form.

La conclusión

Spain are clear favorites against Panama based on current form, squad depth, and predictive metrics. Spain's elite ranking and outstanding chemistry give them a significant advantage. Panama will need a historic performance to overcome the odds.

Diferencias clave: Panama vs Spain

  • FIFA Ranking: Spain sit 53 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#2 vs #55).
  • Squad Chemistry: Spain have stronger squad cohesion (86/100 vs 65/100).
  • Average Squad Rating: Spain carry the higher average player rating (7.1 vs 6.5).
  • International Experience: Panama bring more combined caps to the squad (830 vs 667).
  • World Cup Titles: Spain have won 1 World Cup; Panama have 0.

¿Quién gana?

Nuestro modelo de IA pondera el estado de forma, la calidad del plantel y la cohesión del equipo para predecir el resultado más probable.

Panama 31%Draw 19%Spain 49%

Cómo se comparan

Una mirada lado a lado de los factores clave que podrían decidir este duelo. Más alto es mejor (salvo el Ranking FIFA, donde más bajo = más fuerte).

Panama
Spain
55
Ranking FIFA
2
65
Química
86
66
Familiaridad
85
62
Estabilidad
83
80
Moral
90

¿Qué significan estos datos?

  • QuímicaQué tan bien juega el plantel como una unidad. Pensá en el tiki-taka del Barcelona frente a un grupo cualquiera de estrellas.
  • FamiliaridadCuánto tiempo llevan jugando juntos estos jugadores. Los planteles con años de experiencia compartida leen las desmarcadas del otro por instinto.
  • EstabilidadQué tan constante ha sido el sistema táctico y la alineación. Los cambios frecuentes de entrenador y los experimentos de formación perjudican este puntaje.
  • MoralLa confianza y el impulso actuales del plantel. Las victorias recientes, el apoyo de la afición y el clima positivo en los medios suman.
🇵🇦

Panama

Química65
Familiaridad66
Estabilidad62
Moral80
🇪🇸

Spain

Química86
Familiaridad85
Estabilidad83
Moral90

Comparación de planteles

Panama
Spain
23
Tamaño del plantel
23
6.5
Valoración media
7.1
830
Partidos internacionales totales
667
52
Goles totales
119

Duelos clave de jugadores

Historial en Mundiales

Panama
Spain
1
Participaciones
16
0
Títulos
1
0
Victorias en Mundiales
31
3
Partidos en Mundiales
67
Group stage
Mejor resultado
Winners

Panama vs Spain — Preguntas frecuentes

Who is favored to win between Panama and Spain at the 2026 World Cup?

Spain are favored, with a 49% projected win probability versus 31% for Panama and a 19% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.

What are Panama's strongest attributes versus Spain?

Panama do not lead Spain in any of the four chemistry metrics (chemistry, familiarity, stability, morale). Panama will need to rely on individual quality and tactical execution to overcome Spain's edge in team cohesion.

What is the World Cup history of Panama versus Spain?

Panama have appeared in 1 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Spain have appeared in 16 World Cups and won 1 title. Panama's best finish is Group stage; Spain's best finish is Winners.

Have Panama and Spain faced each other in major international competition?

Panama and Spain have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.

Which players will define the Panama versus Spain match?

José Fajardo (Panama, Saprissa, rated 6.7/10) and Lamine Yamal (Spain, Barcelona, rated 8.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.

Which squad has more international experience: Panama or Spain?

Panama carry the more experienced squad, with 830 combined senior caps versus 667 for Spain. Average squad rating is 6.5 for Panama and 7.1 for Spain.

Comparaciones relacionadas

Panama vs Spain: comparación cara a cara del Mundial 2026 | KickOracle