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En resumen: ¿quién es mejor, Netherlands o Serbia?

Netherlands are favored over Serbia at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 46% win probability for Netherlands versus 34% for Serbia (and 20% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Netherlands's higher squad chemistry, though Serbia remain capable of an upset on tournament form.

La conclusión

Netherlands hold a slight edge over Serbia, driven primarily by their superior squad chemistry. However, Serbia possess the quality to cause an upset, particularly if their high morale translates into a disciplined performance on the day.

Diferencias clave: Netherlands vs Serbia

  • FIFA Ranking: Netherlands sit 25 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#7 vs #32).
  • Squad Chemistry: Netherlands have stronger squad cohesion (78/100 vs 72/100).
  • Average Squad Rating: Netherlands carry the higher average player rating (7.1 vs 6.7).
  • International Experience: Serbia bring more combined caps to the squad (752 vs 693).
  • World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.

¿Quién gana?

Nuestro modelo de IA pondera el estado de forma, la calidad del plantel y la cohesión del equipo para predecir el resultado más probable.

Netherlands 46%Draw 20%Serbia 34%

Cómo se comparan

Una mirada lado a lado de los factores clave que podrían decidir este duelo. Más alto es mejor (salvo el Ranking FIFA, donde más bajo = más fuerte).

Netherlands
Serbia
7
Ranking FIFA
32
78
Química
72
77
Familiaridad
70
73
Estabilidad
64
76
Moral
73

¿Qué significan estos datos?

  • QuímicaQué tan bien juega el plantel como una unidad. Pensá en el tiki-taka del Barcelona frente a un grupo cualquiera de estrellas.
  • FamiliaridadCuánto tiempo llevan jugando juntos estos jugadores. Los planteles con años de experiencia compartida leen las desmarcadas del otro por instinto.
  • EstabilidadQué tan constante ha sido el sistema táctico y la alineación. Los cambios frecuentes de entrenador y los experimentos de formación perjudican este puntaje.
  • MoralLa confianza y el impulso actuales del plantel. Las victorias recientes, el apoyo de la afición y el clima positivo en los medios suman.
🇳🇱

Netherlands

Química78
Familiaridad77
Estabilidad73
Moral76
🇷🇸

Serbia

Química72
Familiaridad70
Estabilidad64
Moral73

Comparación de planteles

Netherlands
Serbia
23
Tamaño del plantel
23
7.1
Valoración media
6.7
693
Partidos internacionales totales
752
118
Goles totales
134

Duelos clave de jugadores

Historial en Mundiales

Netherlands
Serbia
11
Participaciones
3
0
Títulos
0
29
Victorias en Mundiales
2
50
Partidos en Mundiales
12
Runners-up
Mejor resultado
Group stage

Netherlands vs Serbia — Preguntas frecuentes

Who is favored to win between Netherlands and Serbia at the 2026 World Cup?

Netherlands are favored, with a 46% projected win probability versus 34% for Serbia and a 20% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.

What are Netherlands's strongest attributes versus Serbia?

Netherlands lead Serbia in squad chemistry, team familiarity, tactical stability, squad morale. Serbia do not lead in any of the four chemistry metrics.

What is the World Cup history of Netherlands versus Serbia?

Netherlands have appeared in 11 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Serbia have appeared in 3 World Cups and won 0 titles. Netherlands's best finish is Runners-up; Serbia's best finish is Group stage.

Have Netherlands and Serbia faced each other in major international competition?

Netherlands and Serbia have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.

Which players will define the Netherlands versus Serbia match?

Cody Gakpo (Netherlands, Liverpool, rated 7.8/10) and Dušan Vlahović (Serbia, Juventus, rated 7.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.

Which squad has more international experience: Netherlands or Serbia?

Serbia carry the more experienced squad, with 752 combined senior caps versus 693 for Netherlands. Average squad rating is 7.1 for Netherlands and 6.7 for Serbia.

Comparaciones relacionadas

Netherlands vs Serbia: comparación cara a cara del Mundial 2026 | KickOracle