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En resumen: ¿quién es mejor, Ivory Coast o Japan?

Japan are favored over Ivory Coast at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 46% win probability for Japan versus 38% for Ivory Coast (and 16% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Japan's higher squad chemistry, though Ivory Coast remain capable of an upset on tournament form.

La conclusión

Japan hold a slight edge over Ivory Coast, driven primarily by their superior squad chemistry. However, Ivory Coast possess the quality to cause an upset, particularly if their high morale translates into a disciplined performance on the day.

Diferencias clave: Ivory Coast vs Japan

  • FIFA Ranking: Japan sit 25 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#13 vs #38).
  • Squad Chemistry: Japan have stronger squad cohesion (82/100 vs 74/100).
  • Average Squad Rating: Japan carry the higher average player rating (6.9 vs 6.7).
  • International Experience: Japan bring more combined caps to the squad (668 vs 633).
  • World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.

¿Quién gana?

Nuestro modelo de IA pondera el estado de forma, la calidad del plantel y la cohesión del equipo para predecir el resultado más probable.

Ivory Coast 38%Draw 16%Japan 46%

Cómo se comparan

Una mirada lado a lado de los factores clave que podrían decidir este duelo. Más alto es mejor (salvo el Ranking FIFA, donde más bajo = más fuerte).

Ivory Coast
Japan
38
Ranking FIFA
13
74
Química
82
70
Familiaridad
81
68
Estabilidad
79
86
Moral
83

¿Qué significan estos datos?

  • QuímicaQué tan bien juega el plantel como una unidad. Pensá en el tiki-taka del Barcelona frente a un grupo cualquiera de estrellas.
  • FamiliaridadCuánto tiempo llevan jugando juntos estos jugadores. Los planteles con años de experiencia compartida leen las desmarcadas del otro por instinto.
  • EstabilidadQué tan constante ha sido el sistema táctico y la alineación. Los cambios frecuentes de entrenador y los experimentos de formación perjudican este puntaje.
  • MoralLa confianza y el impulso actuales del plantel. Las victorias recientes, el apoyo de la afición y el clima positivo en los medios suman.
🇨🇮

Ivory Coast

Química74
Familiaridad70
Estabilidad68
Moral86
🇯🇵

Japan

Química82
Familiaridad81
Estabilidad79
Moral83

Comparación de planteles

Ivory Coast
Japan
23
Tamaño del plantel
23
6.7
Valoración media
6.9
633
Partidos internacionales totales
668
68
Goles totales
78

Duelos clave de jugadores

Historial en Mundiales

Ivory Coast
Japan
4
Participaciones
7
0
Títulos
0
3
Victorias en Mundiales
7
12
Partidos en Mundiales
24
Group stage
Mejor resultado
Round of 16

Ivory Coast vs Japan — Preguntas frecuentes

Who is favored to win between Ivory Coast and Japan at the 2026 World Cup?

Japan are favored, with a 46% projected win probability versus 38% for Ivory Coast and a 16% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.

What are Ivory Coast's strongest attributes versus Japan?

Ivory Coast lead Japan in squad morale. Japan, in turn, have the edge in squad chemistry, team familiarity, tactical stability.

What is the World Cup history of Ivory Coast versus Japan?

Ivory Coast have appeared in 4 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Japan have appeared in 7 World Cups and won 0 titles. Ivory Coast's best finish is Group stage; Japan's best finish is Round of 16.

Have Ivory Coast and Japan faced each other in major international competition?

Ivory Coast and Japan have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.

Which players will define the Ivory Coast versus Japan match?

Simon Adingra (Ivory Coast, Brighton, rated 7.2/10) and Takefusa Kubo (Japan, Real Sociedad, rated 7.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.

Which squad has more international experience: Ivory Coast or Japan?

Japan carry the more experienced squad, with 668 combined senior caps versus 633 for Ivory Coast. Average squad rating is 6.7 for Ivory Coast and 6.9 for Japan.

Comparaciones relacionadas

Ivory Coast vs Japan: comparación cara a cara del Mundial 2026 | KickOracle