En resumen: ¿quién es mejor, Italy o Ivory Coast?
Italy are favored over Ivory Coast at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 47% win probability for Italy versus 38% for Ivory Coast (and 15% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Italy's stronger FIFA ranking, though Ivory Coast remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
La conclusión
Italy hold a slight edge over Ivory Coast, driven primarily by their higher FIFA ranking. However, Ivory Coast possess the quality to cause an upset, particularly if their high morale translates into a disciplined performance on the day.
Diferencias clave: Italy vs Ivory Coast
- •FIFA Ranking: Italy sit 29 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#9 vs #38).
- •Squad Chemistry: Squad chemistry is essentially tied (Italy 74, Ivory Coast 74).
- •Average Squad Rating: Italy carry the higher average player rating (7 vs 6.7).
- •International Experience: Ivory Coast bring more combined caps to the squad (633 vs 632).
- •World Cup Titles: Italy have won 4 World Cups; Ivory Coast have 0.
¿Quién gana?
Nuestro modelo de IA pondera el estado de forma, la calidad del plantel y la cohesión del equipo para predecir el resultado más probable.
Cómo se comparan
Una mirada lado a lado de los factores clave que podrían decidir este duelo. Más alto es mejor (salvo el Ranking FIFA, donde más bajo = más fuerte).
¿Qué significan estos datos?
- Química — Qué tan bien juega el plantel como una unidad. Pensá en el tiki-taka del Barcelona frente a un grupo cualquiera de estrellas.
- Familiaridad — Cuánto tiempo llevan jugando juntos estos jugadores. Los planteles con años de experiencia compartida leen las desmarcadas del otro por instinto.
- Estabilidad — Qué tan constante ha sido el sistema táctico y la alineación. Los cambios frecuentes de entrenador y los experimentos de formación perjudican este puntaje.
- Moral — La confianza y el impulso actuales del plantel. Las victorias recientes, el apoyo de la afición y el clima positivo en los medios suman.
Italy
Ivory Coast
Comparación de planteles
Duelos clave de jugadores
Historial en Mundiales
Italy vs Ivory Coast — Preguntas frecuentes
Who is favored to win between Italy and Ivory Coast at the 2026 World Cup?
Italy are favored, with a 47% projected win probability versus 38% for Ivory Coast and a 15% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Italy's strongest attributes versus Ivory Coast?
Italy do not lead Ivory Coast in any of the four chemistry metrics (chemistry, familiarity, stability, morale). Italy will need to rely on individual quality and tactical execution to overcome Ivory Coast's edge in team cohesion.
What is the World Cup history of Italy versus Ivory Coast?
Italy have appeared in 18 FIFA World Cups and won 4 titles; Ivory Coast have appeared in 4 World Cups and won 0 titles. Italy's best finish is Winners; Ivory Coast's best finish is Group stage.
Have Italy and Ivory Coast faced each other in major international competition?
Italy and Ivory Coast have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Italy versus Ivory Coast match?
Federico Chiesa (Italy, Liverpool, rated 7.3/10) and Simon Adingra (Ivory Coast, Brighton, rated 7.2/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Italy or Ivory Coast?
Ivory Coast carry the more experienced squad, with 633 combined senior caps versus 632 for Italy. Average squad rating is 7 for Italy and 6.7 for Ivory Coast.