En resumen: ¿quién es mejor, Iran o Serbia?
Iran are favored over Serbia at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 44% win probability for Iran versus 39% for Serbia (and 17% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Iran's higher squad chemistry, though Serbia remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
La conclusión
This is an extremely tight matchup. Both Iran and Serbia are evenly matched across key metrics, making this one of the most unpredictable potential encounters at the 2026 World Cup. Tactical execution and individual moments of brilliance will likely decide the outcome.
Diferencias clave: Iran vs Serbia
- •FIFA Ranking: Iran sit 12 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#20 vs #32).
- •Squad Chemistry: Squad chemistry is essentially tied (Iran 73, Serbia 72).
- •Average Squad Rating: The two squads are rated within 0.2 of each other on average (Iran 6.6, Serbia 6.7).
- •International Experience: Iran bring more combined caps to the squad (1208 vs 752).
- •World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.
¿Quién gana?
Nuestro modelo de IA pondera el estado de forma, la calidad del plantel y la cohesión del equipo para predecir el resultado más probable.
Cómo se comparan
Una mirada lado a lado de los factores clave que podrían decidir este duelo. Más alto es mejor (salvo el Ranking FIFA, donde más bajo = más fuerte).
¿Qué significan estos datos?
- Química — Qué tan bien juega el plantel como una unidad. Pensá en el tiki-taka del Barcelona frente a un grupo cualquiera de estrellas.
- Familiaridad — Cuánto tiempo llevan jugando juntos estos jugadores. Los planteles con años de experiencia compartida leen las desmarcadas del otro por instinto.
- Estabilidad — Qué tan constante ha sido el sistema táctico y la alineación. Los cambios frecuentes de entrenador y los experimentos de formación perjudican este puntaje.
- Moral — La confianza y el impulso actuales del plantel. Las victorias recientes, el apoyo de la afición y el clima positivo en los medios suman.
Iran
Serbia
Comparación de planteles
Duelos clave de jugadores
Historial en Mundiales
Iran vs Serbia — Preguntas frecuentes
Who is favored to win between Iran and Serbia at the 2026 World Cup?
Iran are favored, with a 44% projected win probability versus 39% for Serbia and a 17% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Iran's strongest attributes versus Serbia?
Iran lead Serbia in squad chemistry, team familiarity, tactical stability. Serbia, in turn, have the edge in squad morale.
What is the World Cup history of Iran versus Serbia?
Iran have appeared in 6 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Serbia have appeared in 3 World Cups and won 0 titles. Iran's best finish is Group stage; Serbia's best finish is Group stage.
Have Iran and Serbia faced each other in major international competition?
Iran and Serbia have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Iran versus Serbia match?
Mehdi Taremi (Iran, Inter Milan, rated 7.5/10) and Dušan Vlahović (Serbia, Juventus, rated 7.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Iran or Serbia?
Iran carry the more experienced squad, with 1208 combined senior caps versus 752 for Serbia. Average squad rating is 6.6 for Iran and 6.7 for Serbia.