En resumen: ¿quién es mejor, Iran o Norway?
Iran and Norway are nearly inseparable on paper for the 2026 World Cup. Our model gives Iran a slim 41% win probability versus Norway, with a 19% chance of a draw — average squad ratings differ by just 0.3 points. Expect a tight, tactical encounter where in-match decisions and individual quality decide it.
La conclusión
This is an extremely tight matchup. Both Iran and Norway are evenly matched across key metrics, making this one of the most unpredictable potential encounters at the 2026 World Cup. Tactical execution and individual moments of brilliance will likely decide the outcome.
Diferencias clave: Iran vs Norway
- •FIFA Ranking: Iran sit 8 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#20 vs #28).
- •Squad Chemistry: Iran have stronger squad cohesion (73/100 vs 69/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: Norway carry the higher average player rating (6.9 vs 6.6).
- •International Experience: Iran bring more combined caps to the squad (1208 vs 612).
- •World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.
¿Quién gana?
Nuestro modelo de IA pondera el estado de forma, la calidad del plantel y la cohesión del equipo para predecir el resultado más probable.
Cómo se comparan
Una mirada lado a lado de los factores clave que podrían decidir este duelo. Más alto es mejor (salvo el Ranking FIFA, donde más bajo = más fuerte).
¿Qué significan estos datos?
- Química — Qué tan bien juega el plantel como una unidad. Pensá en el tiki-taka del Barcelona frente a un grupo cualquiera de estrellas.
- Familiaridad — Cuánto tiempo llevan jugando juntos estos jugadores. Los planteles con años de experiencia compartida leen las desmarcadas del otro por instinto.
- Estabilidad — Qué tan constante ha sido el sistema táctico y la alineación. Los cambios frecuentes de entrenador y los experimentos de formación perjudican este puntaje.
- Moral — La confianza y el impulso actuales del plantel. Las victorias recientes, el apoyo de la afición y el clima positivo en los medios suman.
Iran
Norway
Comparación de planteles
Duelos clave de jugadores
Historial en Mundiales
Iran vs Norway — Preguntas frecuentes
Who is favored to win between Iran and Norway at the 2026 World Cup?
Iran and Norway are essentially even. Our AI model gives Iran a slight 41% win probability versus 39% for Norway, with a 19% chance of a draw — within the model's noise range.
What are Iran's strongest attributes versus Norway?
Iran lead Norway in squad chemistry, team familiarity, tactical stability. Norway, in turn, have the edge in squad morale.
What is the World Cup history of Iran versus Norway?
Iran have appeared in 6 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Norway have appeared in 3 World Cups and won 0 titles. Iran's best finish is Group stage; Norway's best finish is Round of 16.
Have Iran and Norway faced each other in major international competition?
Iran and Norway have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Iran versus Norway match?
Mehdi Taremi (Iran, Inter Milan, rated 7.5/10) and Erling Haaland (Norway, Manchester City, rated 9/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Iran or Norway?
Iran carry the more experienced squad, with 1208 combined senior caps versus 612 for Norway. Average squad rating is 6.6 for Iran and 6.9 for Norway.