En resumen: ¿quién es mejor, Denmark o Japan?
Denmark and Japan are nearly inseparable on paper for the 2026 World Cup. Our model gives Japan a slim 42% win probability versus Denmark, with a 17% chance of a draw — average squad ratings differ by just 0.0 points. Expect a tight, tactical encounter where in-match decisions and individual quality decide it.
La conclusión
This is an extremely tight matchup. Both Denmark and Japan are evenly matched across key metrics, making this one of the most unpredictable potential encounters at the 2026 World Cup. Tactical execution and individual moments of brilliance will likely decide the outcome.
Diferencias clave: Denmark vs Japan
- •FIFA Ranking: Japan sit 8 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#13 vs #21).
- •Squad Chemistry: Squad chemistry is essentially tied (Denmark 80, Japan 82).
- •Average Squad Rating: The two squads are rated within 0.2 of each other on average (Denmark 6.9, Japan 6.9).
- •International Experience: Denmark bring more combined caps to the squad (1003 vs 668).
- •World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.
¿Quién gana?
Nuestro modelo de IA pondera el estado de forma, la calidad del plantel y la cohesión del equipo para predecir el resultado más probable.
Cómo se comparan
Una mirada lado a lado de los factores clave que podrían decidir este duelo. Más alto es mejor (salvo el Ranking FIFA, donde más bajo = más fuerte).
¿Qué significan estos datos?
- Química — Qué tan bien juega el plantel como una unidad. Pensá en el tiki-taka del Barcelona frente a un grupo cualquiera de estrellas.
- Familiaridad — Cuánto tiempo llevan jugando juntos estos jugadores. Los planteles con años de experiencia compartida leen las desmarcadas del otro por instinto.
- Estabilidad — Qué tan constante ha sido el sistema táctico y la alineación. Los cambios frecuentes de entrenador y los experimentos de formación perjudican este puntaje.
- Moral — La confianza y el impulso actuales del plantel. Las victorias recientes, el apoyo de la afición y el clima positivo en los medios suman.
Denmark
Japan
Comparación de planteles
Duelos clave de jugadores
Historial en Mundiales
Denmark vs Japan — Preguntas frecuentes
Who is favored to win between Denmark and Japan at the 2026 World Cup?
Denmark and Japan are essentially even. Our AI model gives Japan a slight 42% win probability versus 40% for Denmark, with a 17% chance of a draw — within the model's noise range.
What are Denmark's strongest attributes versus Japan?
Denmark lead Japan in team familiarity. Japan, in turn, have the edge in squad chemistry, tactical stability, squad morale.
What is the World Cup history of Denmark versus Japan?
Denmark have appeared in 6 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Japan have appeared in 7 World Cups and won 0 titles. Denmark's best finish is Quarter-finals; Japan's best finish is Round of 16.
Have Denmark and Japan faced each other in major international competition?
Denmark and Japan have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Denmark versus Japan match?
Rasmus Højlund (Denmark, Manchester United, rated 7.3/10) and Takefusa Kubo (Japan, Real Sociedad, rated 7.5/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Denmark or Japan?
Denmark carry the more experienced squad, with 1003 combined senior caps versus 668 for Japan. Average squad rating is 6.9 for Denmark and 6.9 for Japan.