En resumen: ¿quién es mejor, Canada o Haiti?
Canada are favored over Haiti at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 51% win probability for Canada versus 32% for Haiti (and 17% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Canada's higher squad chemistry, though Haiti remain capable of an upset on tournament form.
La conclusión
Canada are clear favorites against Haiti based on current form, squad depth, and predictive metrics. Canada's competitive strength and outstanding chemistry give them a significant advantage. Haiti will need a historic performance to overcome the odds.
Diferencias clave: Canada vs Haiti
- •FIFA Ranking: Canada sit 46 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#40 vs #86).
- •Squad Chemistry: Canada have stronger squad cohesion (70/100 vs 60/100).
- •Average Squad Rating: Canada carry the higher average player rating (6.8 vs 6.5).
- •International Experience: Canada bring more combined caps to the squad (750 vs 435).
- •World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.
¿Quién gana?
Nuestro modelo de IA pondera el estado de forma, la calidad del plantel y la cohesión del equipo para predecir el resultado más probable.
Cómo se comparan
Una mirada lado a lado de los factores clave que podrían decidir este duelo. Más alto es mejor (salvo el Ranking FIFA, donde más bajo = más fuerte).
¿Qué significan estos datos?
- Química — Qué tan bien juega el plantel como una unidad. Pensá en el tiki-taka del Barcelona frente a un grupo cualquiera de estrellas.
- Familiaridad — Cuánto tiempo llevan jugando juntos estos jugadores. Los planteles con años de experiencia compartida leen las desmarcadas del otro por instinto.
- Estabilidad — Qué tan constante ha sido el sistema táctico y la alineación. Los cambios frecuentes de entrenador y los experimentos de formación perjudican este puntaje.
- Moral — La confianza y el impulso actuales del plantel. Las victorias recientes, el apoyo de la afición y el clima positivo en los medios suman.
Canada
Haiti
Comparación de planteles
Duelos clave de jugadores
Historial en Mundiales
Canada vs Haiti — Preguntas frecuentes
Who is favored to win between Canada and Haiti at the 2026 World Cup?
Canada are favored, with a 51% projected win probability versus 32% for Haiti and a 17% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.
What are Canada's strongest attributes versus Haiti?
Canada lead Haiti in squad chemistry, team familiarity, tactical stability. Haiti, in turn, have the edge in squad morale.
What is the World Cup history of Canada versus Haiti?
Canada have appeared in 2 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Haiti have appeared in 1 World Cups and won 0 titles. Canada's best finish is Group stage; Haiti's best finish is Group stage.
Have Canada and Haiti faced each other in major international competition?
Canada and Haiti have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.
Which players will define the Canada versus Haiti match?
Jonathan David (Canada, Lille, rated 7.6/10) and Derrick Étienne Jr. (Haiti, Columbus Crew, rated 7/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.
Which squad has more international experience: Canada or Haiti?
Canada carry the more experienced squad, with 750 combined senior caps versus 435 for Haiti. Average squad rating is 6.8 for Canada and 6.5 for Haiti.