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En resumen: ¿quién es mejor, Austria o Norway?

Austria and Norway are nearly inseparable on paper for the 2026 World Cup. Our model gives Austria a slim 44% win probability versus Norway, with a 16% chance of a draw — average squad ratings differ by just 0.2 points. Expect a tight, tactical encounter where in-match decisions and individual quality decide it.

La conclusión

This is an extremely tight matchup. Both Austria and Norway are evenly matched across key metrics, making this one of the most unpredictable potential encounters at the 2026 World Cup. Tactical execution and individual moments of brilliance will likely decide the outcome.

Diferencias clave: Austria vs Norway

  • FIFA Ranking: Austria sit 3 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#25 vs #28).
  • Squad Chemistry: Austria have stronger squad cohesion (78/100 vs 69/100).
  • Average Squad Rating: Norway carry the higher average player rating (6.9 vs 6.7).
  • International Experience: Austria bring more combined caps to the squad (732 vs 612).
  • World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.

¿Quién gana?

Nuestro modelo de IA pondera el estado de forma, la calidad del plantel y la cohesión del equipo para predecir el resultado más probable.

Austria 44%Draw 16%Norway 40%

Cómo se comparan

Una mirada lado a lado de los factores clave que podrían decidir este duelo. Más alto es mejor (salvo el Ranking FIFA, donde más bajo = más fuerte).

Austria
Norway
25
Ranking FIFA
28
78
Química
69
76
Familiaridad
66
75
Estabilidad
68
77
Moral
81

¿Qué significan estos datos?

  • QuímicaQué tan bien juega el plantel como una unidad. Pensá en el tiki-taka del Barcelona frente a un grupo cualquiera de estrellas.
  • FamiliaridadCuánto tiempo llevan jugando juntos estos jugadores. Los planteles con años de experiencia compartida leen las desmarcadas del otro por instinto.
  • EstabilidadQué tan constante ha sido el sistema táctico y la alineación. Los cambios frecuentes de entrenador y los experimentos de formación perjudican este puntaje.
  • MoralLa confianza y el impulso actuales del plantel. Las victorias recientes, el apoyo de la afición y el clima positivo en los medios suman.
🇦🇹

Austria

Química78
Familiaridad76
Estabilidad75
Moral77
🇳🇴

Norway

Química69
Familiaridad66
Estabilidad68
Moral81

Comparación de planteles

Austria
Norway
23
Tamaño del plantel
23
6.7
Valoración media
6.9
732
Partidos internacionales totales
612
104
Goles totales
100

Duelos clave de jugadores

Historial en Mundiales

Austria
Norway
8
Participaciones
3
0
Títulos
0
12
Victorias en Mundiales
2
29
Partidos en Mundiales
8
Third place
Mejor resultado
Round of 16

Austria vs Norway — Preguntas frecuentes

Who is favored to win between Austria and Norway at the 2026 World Cup?

Austria and Norway are essentially even. Our AI model gives Austria a slight 44% win probability versus 40% for Norway, with a 16% chance of a draw — within the model's noise range.

What are Austria's strongest attributes versus Norway?

Austria lead Norway in squad chemistry, team familiarity, tactical stability. Norway, in turn, have the edge in squad morale.

What is the World Cup history of Austria versus Norway?

Austria have appeared in 8 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Norway have appeared in 3 World Cups and won 0 titles. Austria's best finish is Third place; Norway's best finish is Round of 16.

Have Austria and Norway faced each other in major international competition?

Austria and Norway have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.

Which players will define the Austria versus Norway match?

Michael Gregoritsch (Austria, Freiburg, rated 6.8/10) and Erling Haaland (Norway, Manchester City, rated 9/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.

Which squad has more international experience: Austria or Norway?

Austria carry the more experienced squad, with 732 combined senior caps versus 612 for Norway. Average squad rating is 6.7 for Austria and 6.9 for Norway.

Comparaciones relacionadas

Austria vs Norway: comparación cara a cara del Mundial 2026 | KickOracle