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En resumen: ¿quién es mejor, Austria o Canada?

Austria are favored over Canada at the 2026 World Cup, with our AI model projecting a 45% win probability for Austria versus 36% for Canada (and 19% for a draw). The edge is driven primarily by Austria's higher squad chemistry, though Canada remain capable of an upset on tournament form.

La conclusión

Austria hold a slight edge over Canada, driven primarily by their superior squad chemistry. However, Canada possess the quality to cause an upset, particularly if their high morale translates into a disciplined performance on the day.

Diferencias clave: Austria vs Canada

  • FIFA Ranking: Austria sit 15 places higher on the FIFA ranking (#25 vs #40).
  • Squad Chemistry: Austria have stronger squad cohesion (78/100 vs 70/100).
  • Average Squad Rating: The two squads are rated within 0.2 of each other on average (Austria 6.7, Canada 6.8).
  • International Experience: Canada bring more combined caps to the squad (750 vs 732).
  • World Cup Titles: Neither side has won a World Cup; both are chasing a first title in 2026.

¿Quién gana?

Nuestro modelo de IA pondera el estado de forma, la calidad del plantel y la cohesión del equipo para predecir el resultado más probable.

Austria 45%Draw 19%Canada 36%

Cómo se comparan

Una mirada lado a lado de los factores clave que podrían decidir este duelo. Más alto es mejor (salvo el Ranking FIFA, donde más bajo = más fuerte).

Austria
Canada
25
Ranking FIFA
40
78
Química
70
76
Familiaridad
68
75
Estabilidad
64
77
Moral
85

¿Qué significan estos datos?

  • QuímicaQué tan bien juega el plantel como una unidad. Pensá en el tiki-taka del Barcelona frente a un grupo cualquiera de estrellas.
  • FamiliaridadCuánto tiempo llevan jugando juntos estos jugadores. Los planteles con años de experiencia compartida leen las desmarcadas del otro por instinto.
  • EstabilidadQué tan constante ha sido el sistema táctico y la alineación. Los cambios frecuentes de entrenador y los experimentos de formación perjudican este puntaje.
  • MoralLa confianza y el impulso actuales del plantel. Las victorias recientes, el apoyo de la afición y el clima positivo en los medios suman.
🇦🇹

Austria

Química78
Familiaridad76
Estabilidad75
Moral77
🇨🇦

Canada

Química70
Familiaridad68
Estabilidad64
Moral85

Comparación de planteles

Austria
Canada
23
Tamaño del plantel
23
6.7
Valoración media
6.8
732
Partidos internacionales totales
750
104
Goles totales
108

Duelos clave de jugadores

Historial en Mundiales

Austria
Canada
8
Participaciones
2
0
Títulos
0
12
Victorias en Mundiales
0
29
Partidos en Mundiales
6
Third place
Mejor resultado
Group stage

Austria vs Canada — Preguntas frecuentes

Who is favored to win between Austria and Canada at the 2026 World Cup?

Austria are favored, with a 45% projected win probability versus 36% for Canada and a 19% chance of a draw. The edge comes from a combination of FIFA ranking, squad chemistry, and current form.

What are Austria's strongest attributes versus Canada?

Austria lead Canada in squad chemistry, team familiarity, tactical stability. Canada, in turn, have the edge in squad morale.

What is the World Cup history of Austria versus Canada?

Austria have appeared in 8 FIFA World Cups and won 0 titles; Canada have appeared in 2 World Cups and won 0 titles. Austria's best finish is Third place; Canada's best finish is Group stage.

Have Austria and Canada faced each other in major international competition?

Austria and Canada have not been frequent opponents in our tracked head-to-head record set, which focuses on the most consequential international rivalries. The 2026 World Cup could provide one of their first high-stakes meetings on the global stage.

Which players will define the Austria versus Canada match?

Michael Gregoritsch (Austria, Freiburg, rated 6.8/10) and Jonathan David (Canada, Lille, rated 7.6/10) are the standout attack players in this fixture. Their individual duel — and the ability of each side's defense to contain the other's top attacker — is likely to determine the outcome.

Which squad has more international experience: Austria or Canada?

Canada carry the more experienced squad, with 750 combined senior caps versus 732 for Austria. Average squad rating is 6.7 for Austria and 6.8 for Canada.

Comparaciones relacionadas

Austria vs Canada: comparación cara a cara del Mundial 2026 | KickOracle